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政治·プライマリ

WA -03優勝者

icon for WA -03優勝者
政治·プライマリ

WA -03優勝者

$34,498 Vol.

2026/08/04
Polymarket

$34,498 Vol.

Polymarket

マリー・グルーゼンカンプ・ペレス

$4,468 Vol.

94%

ジョン・ブラウン

$3,634 Vol.

91%

スザンナ・V・タナー

$399 Vol.

34%

アントニー・バラン

$62 Vol.

27%

ブレント・ヘンリッチ

$17,609 Vol.

19%

ローレンス・ケロッグ

$4,128 Vol.

11%

エリック・ヴォーン

$4,198 Vol.

4%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on August 4 will determine the two candidates advancing to the November general from a field of 12, including incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez, challengers Austin Braswell and Brent Hennrich (D), and Republicans led by state Senate Minority Leader John Braun. The May 8 filing deadline finalized the crowded ballot, with Pérez dominating fundraising at $3.46 million cash on hand versus Braun's $918,000 as of late March. An NRCC poll conducted April 25-29 among likely voters shows Braun leading Pérez 41%-34% in a head-to-head, driven by her 50% unfavorable rating and weak Democratic brand support in the R+2 battleground district Trump carried 50%-47% in 2024. Early voting begins July 17.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$34,498
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on August 4 will determine the two candidates advancing to the November general from a field of 12, including incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez, challengers Austin Braswell and Brent Hennrich (D), and Republicans led by state Senate Minority Leader John Braun. The May 8 filing deadline finalized the crowded ballot, with Pérez dominating fundraising at $3.46 million cash on hand versus Braun's $918,000 as of late March. An NRCC poll conducted April 25-29 among likely voters shows Braun leading Pérez 41%-34% in a head-to-head, driven by her 50% unfavorable rating and weak Democratic brand support in the R+2 battleground district Trump carried 50%-47% in 2024. Early voting begins July 17.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$34,498
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

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よくある質問

「WA -03優勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マリー・グルーゼンカンプ・ペレス」で94%、次いで「ジョン・ブラウン」が91%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「WA -03優勝者」は$34.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「WA -03優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「WA -03優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マリー・グルーゼンカンプ・ペレス」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジョン・ブラウン」で91%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「WA -03優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。