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コロラド州知事民主党予備選挙勝利率

icon for コロラド州知事民主党予備選挙勝利率

コロラド州知事民主党予備選挙勝利率

ワイザー <5% 79%

ワイザー 5~10% 78%

ワイザー15%超 43%

ベネット 5%未満 43%

Polymarket
新規

ワイザー <5% 79%

ワイザー 5~10% 78%

ワイザー15%超 43%

ベネット 5%未満 43%

Polymarket
新規

ベネット15%以上

$71 Vol.

27%

ベネット 10〜15%

$76 Vol.

27%

ベネット 5〜10%

$63 Vol.

27%

ベネット 5%未満

$0 Vol.

43%

ワイザー <5%

$0 Vol.

79%

ワイザー 5~10%

$0 Vol.

78%

ワイザー 10〜15%

$89 Vol.

22%

ワイザー15%超

$48 Vol.

43%

The Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The tight trader consensus on narrow margins or an "other" outcome in Colorado’s Democratic gubernatorial primary stems from a closely contested race between U.S. Senator Michael Bennet and Attorney General Phil Weiser just days before the June 30 vote. Recent polling shows Weiser ahead among decided voters but with a large undecided share, while mutual criticism over resistance to the Trump administration and contrasting records on state-level versus federal experience have limited separation. Focus on affordability, housing, and executive leadership experience has kept voter preferences fluid, with no candidate establishing a decisive edge in turnout or key Democratic coalitions.

The Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for June 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$347
マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 11:35 AM ET
The Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The tight trader consensus on narrow margins or an "other" outcome in Colorado’s Democratic gubernatorial primary stems from a closely contested race between U.S. Senator Michael Bennet and Attorney General Phil Weiser just days before the June 30 vote. Recent polling shows Weiser ahead among decided voters but with a large undecided share, while mutual criticism over resistance to the Trump administration and contrasting records on state-level versus federal experience have limited separation. Focus on affordability, housing, and executive leadership experience has kept voter preferences fluid, with no candidate establishing a decisive edge in turnout or key Democratic coalitions.

The Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for June 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$347
マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 11:35 AM ET
The Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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よくある質問

「コロラド州知事民主党予備選挙勝利率」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ワイザー15%超」で43%、次いで「ワイザー <5%」が40%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、43¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に43%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「コロラド州知事民主党予備選挙勝利率」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 26, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「コロラド州知事民主党予備選挙勝利率」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「コロラド州知事民主党予備選挙勝利率」の現在のフロントランナーは「ワイザー15%超」で43%であり、市場がこの結果に43%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ワイザー <5%」で40%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「コロラド州知事民主党予備選挙勝利率」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。