Maine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after Democratic Rep. Jared Golden opted not to seek reelection, setting up a matchup between Republican nominee Paul LePage and Democratic nominee Matthew Dunlap. LePage, a former governor with high name recognition and a substantial fundraising edge, faces Dunlap, the state auditor who prevailed in the June Democratic primary through ranked-choice voting. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one July survey placing the candidates essentially even. The rural district’s Republican tilt in presidential voting contrasts with its history of supporting moderate Democrats, sustaining uncertainty. Scheduled October debates and late-cycle turnout patterns in key counties remain key variables that could shift the narrow trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/02
ポール・ルページ（共和党）
57%
マシュー・ダンラップ（民主党）
42%
新規
新規
2026/11/02
ポール・ルページ（共和党）
$5,820 Vol.
57%
マシュー・ダンラップ（民主党）
$2,263 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after Democratic Rep. Jared Golden opted not to seek reelection, setting up a matchup between Republican nominee Paul LePage and Democratic nominee Matthew Dunlap. LePage, a former governor with high name recognition and a substantial fundraising edge, faces Dunlap, the state auditor who prevailed in the June Democratic primary through ranked-choice voting. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one July survey placing the candidates essentially even. The rural district’s Republican tilt in presidential voting contrasts with its history of supporting moderate Democrats, sustaining uncertainty. Scheduled October debates and late-cycle turnout patterns in key counties remain key variables that could shift the narrow trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
音量
$8,083終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after Democratic Rep. Jared Golden opted not to seek reelection, setting up a matchup between Republican nominee Paul LePage and Democratic nominee Matthew Dunlap. LePage, a former governor with high name recognition and a substantial fundraising edge, faces Dunlap, the state auditor who prevailed in the June Democratic primary through ranked-choice voting. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one July survey placing the candidates essentially even. The rural district’s Republican tilt in presidential voting contrasts with its history of supporting moderate Democrats, sustaining uncertainty. Scheduled October debates and late-cycle turnout patterns in key counties remain key variables that could shift the narrow trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,083終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Maine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after Democratic Rep. Jared Golden opted not to seek reelection, setting up a matchup between Republican nominee Paul LePage and Democratic nominee Matthew Dunlap. LePage, a former governor with high name recognition and a substantial fundraising edge, faces Dunlap, the state auditor who prevailed in the June Democratic primary through ranked-choice voting. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one July survey placing the candidates essentially even. The rural district’s Republican tilt in presidential voting contrasts with its history of supporting moderate Democrats, sustaining uncertainty. Scheduled October debates and late-cycle turnout patterns in key counties remain key variables that could shift the narrow trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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