Kansas's Republican tilt and the open seat created by term-limited Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly position Senate President Ty Masterson as the frontrunner in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial contest. Masterson secured the GOP nomination after a Trump endorsement and prevailed in a crowded primary, while Democrat Cindy Holscher won her party's nod. A late August primary outcome and early September polling showing Masterson ahead 51-43 among likely voters have reinforced trader views, alongside substantial Republican Governors Association ad spending targeting independents on property taxes and spending. The candidates' September 12 debate highlighted clashes over data centers, tax relief, and records, with both courting the large unaffiliated bloc in a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024. The implied probability reflects these structural and campaign factors heading into the final stretch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,952 Vol.
$22,952 Vol.
2026/11/02
タイ・マスターソン（共和党）
68%
シンディ・ホルシャー（民主党）
33%
$22,952 Vol.
$22,952 Vol.
2026/11/02
タイ・マスターソン（共和党）
$11,914 Vol.
68%
シンディ・ホルシャー（民主党）
$11,039 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's Republican tilt and the open seat created by term-limited Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly position Senate President Ty Masterson as the frontrunner in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial contest. Masterson secured the GOP nomination after a Trump endorsement and prevailed in a crowded primary, while Democrat Cindy Holscher won her party's nod. A late August primary outcome and early September polling showing Masterson ahead 51-43 among likely voters have reinforced trader views, alongside substantial Republican Governors Association ad spending targeting independents on property taxes and spending. The candidates' September 12 debate highlighted clashes over data centers, tax relief, and records, with both courting the large unaffiliated bloc in a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024. The implied probability reflects these structural and campaign factors heading into the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$22,952終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's Republican tilt and the open seat created by term-limited Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly position Senate President Ty Masterson as the frontrunner in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial contest. Masterson secured the GOP nomination after a Trump endorsement and prevailed in a crowded primary, while Democrat Cindy Holscher won her party's nod. A late August primary outcome and early September polling showing Masterson ahead 51-43 among likely voters have reinforced trader views, alongside substantial Republican Governors Association ad spending targeting independents on property taxes and spending. The candidates' September 12 debate highlighted clashes over data centers, tax relief, and records, with both courting the large unaffiliated bloc in a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024. The implied probability reflects these structural and campaign factors heading into the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$22,952終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's Republican tilt and the open seat created by term-limited Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly position Senate President Ty Masterson as the frontrunner in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial contest. Masterson secured the GOP nomination after a Trump endorsement and prevailed in a crowded primary, while Democrat Cindy Holscher won her party's nod. A late August primary outcome and early September polling showing Masterson ahead 51-43 among likely voters have reinforced trader views, alongside substantial Republican Governors Association ad spending targeting independents on property taxes and spending. The candidates' September 12 debate highlighted clashes over data centers, tax relief, and records, with both courting the large unaffiliated bloc in a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024. The implied probability reflects these structural and campaign factors heading into the final stretch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問