Recent primaries have set up Republican incumbent Roger Marshall against Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate race and an open gubernatorial contest between Republican Senate President Ty Masterson and Democrat state Senator Cindy Holscher. Kansas's strong Republican lean, including Donald Trump's sizable 2024 margin, underpins trader views of a potential GOP sweep, yet recent Senate polling shows narrow leads for Marshall and forecasts rate the governor contest only lean Republican. The close market pricing between a Republican sweep and other outcomes reflects these fundamentals alongside uncertainty over turnout, national midterm dynamics, and any late shifts in voter sentiment before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日共和党全勝 62%
民主党が知事選勝利、共和党が上院選勝利 29%
民主党圧勝 16%
共和党知事勝利、民主党上院勝利 9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党全勝
62%
民主党が知事選勝利、共和党が上院選勝利
29%
民主党圧勝
13%
共和党知事勝利、民主党上院勝利
11%
共和党全勝 62%
民主党が知事選勝利、共和党が上院選勝利 29%
民主党圧勝 16%
共和党知事勝利、民主党上院勝利 9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党全勝
$60 Vol.
62%
民主党が知事選勝利、共和党が上院選勝利
$28 Vol.
29%
民主党圧勝
$3 Vol.
13%
共和党知事勝利、民主党上院勝利
$35 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent primaries have set up Republican incumbent Roger Marshall against Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate race and an open gubernatorial contest between Republican Senate President Ty Masterson and Democrat state Senator Cindy Holscher. Kansas's strong Republican lean, including Donald Trump's sizable 2024 margin, underpins trader views of a potential GOP sweep, yet recent Senate polling shows narrow leads for Marshall and forecasts rate the governor contest only lean Republican. The close market pricing between a Republican sweep and other outcomes reflects these fundamentals alongside uncertainty over turnout, national midterm dynamics, and any late shifts in voter sentiment before November.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
音量
$126終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent primaries have set up Republican incumbent Roger Marshall against Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate race and an open gubernatorial contest between Republican Senate President Ty Masterson and Democrat state Senator Cindy Holscher. Kansas's strong Republican lean, including Donald Trump's sizable 2024 margin, underpins trader views of a potential GOP sweep, yet recent Senate polling shows narrow leads for Marshall and forecasts rate the governor contest only lean Republican. The close market pricing between a Republican sweep and other outcomes reflects these fundamentals alongside uncertainty over turnout, national midterm dynamics, and any late shifts in voter sentiment before November.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$126終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent primaries have set up Republican incumbent Roger Marshall against Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Senate race and an open gubernatorial contest between Republican Senate President Ty Masterson and Democrat state Senator Cindy Holscher. Kansas's strong Republican lean, including Donald Trump's sizable 2024 margin, underpins trader views of a potential GOP sweep, yet recent Senate polling shows narrow leads for Marshall and forecasts rate the governor contest only lean Republican. The close market pricing between a Republican sweep and other outcomes reflects these fundamentals alongside uncertainty over turnout, national midterm dynamics, and any late shifts in voter sentiment before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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