The special election to fill the Cavite 4th Congressional District seat, vacated by the June 2026 expulsion of former Representative Francisco “Kiko” Barzaga, is scheduled for August 29 with proclamation expected the following day. Dasmarinas Mayor Jennifer Austria Barzaga, who filed her certificate of candidacy in mid-July, draws on established local name recognition and family political infrastructure in the district’s main population center. Five candidates ultimately qualified, including Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat and several lesser-known local figures. With roughly one month remaining, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a narrow lead for Barzaga alongside viable support for alternatives, consistent with limited public polling data and the influence of municipal-level organization, turnout patterns among the district’s more than 450,000 registered voters, and the short campaign window typical of Philippine special elections. Upcoming official activities through election day could still shift relative positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジェニファー・オーストリア・バルザガ 38%
ハシント・バウティスタ・フラニ・ジュニア 8%
レイサンダー・アギラール・オルデネス 3.5%
ラウル・レックス・デル・ロサリオ・マンガバット 2%
ジェニファー・オーストリア・バルザガ
38%
ハシント・バウティスタ・フラニ・ジュニア
8%
レイサンダー・アギラール・オルデネス
4%
ラウル・レックス・デル・ロサリオ・マンガバット
14%
マーヴィン・オパミン・ドゥパルアグ
1%
ジェニファー・オーストリア・バルザガ 38%
ハシント・バウティスタ・フラニ・ジュニア 8%
レイサンダー・アギラール・オルデネス 3.5%
ラウル・レックス・デル・ロサリオ・マンガバット 2%
ジェニファー・オーストリア・バルザガ
38%
ハシント・バウティスタ・フラニ・ジュニア
8%
レイサンダー・アギラール・オルデネス
4%
ラウル・レックス・デル・ロサリオ・マンガバット
14%
マーヴィン・オパミン・ドゥパルアグ
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The special election to fill the Cavite 4th Congressional District seat, vacated by the June 2026 expulsion of former Representative Francisco “Kiko” Barzaga, is scheduled for August 29 with proclamation expected the following day. Dasmarinas Mayor Jennifer Austria Barzaga, who filed her certificate of candidacy in mid-July, draws on established local name recognition and family political infrastructure in the district’s main population center. Five candidates ultimately qualified, including Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat and several lesser-known local figures. With roughly one month remaining, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a narrow lead for Barzaga alongside viable support for alternatives, consistent with limited public polling data and the influence of municipal-level organization, turnout patterns among the district’s more than 450,000 registered voters, and the short campaign window typical of Philippine special elections. Upcoming official activities through election day could still shift relative positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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