Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a clear lead in the August 6, 2026, TN-04 Republican primary, supported by substantial campaign fundraising exceeding $380,000 and a Trump endorsement that bolsters his position among primary voters. The district, redrawn in May 2026, remains strongly Republican with a partisan lean favoring the incumbent, who has won prior primaries by wide margins. Challengers including Tom Davis, Joshua James, and Harold "Rocky" Jones have declared but trail significantly in resources and name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these structural advantages for the sitting representative, though the short timeline to the primary leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or additional endorsements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日スコット・デジャール 90%
トム・デイビス 11%
ジョシュア・ジェームズ 8.9%
ハロルド「ロッキー」ジョーンズ 7.9%
スコット・デジャール
90%
トム・デイビス
11%
ジョシュア・ジェームズ
9%
ハロルド「ロッキー」ジョーンズ
8%
スコット・デジャール 90%
トム・デイビス 11%
ジョシュア・ジェームズ 8.9%
ハロルド「ロッキー」ジョーンズ 7.9%
スコット・デジャール
90%
トム・デイビス
11%
ジョシュア・ジェームズ
9%
ハロルド「ロッキー」ジョーンズ
8%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Jul 23, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a clear lead in the August 6, 2026, TN-04 Republican primary, supported by substantial campaign fundraising exceeding $380,000 and a Trump endorsement that bolsters his position among primary voters. The district, redrawn in May 2026, remains strongly Republican with a partisan lean favoring the incumbent, who has won prior primaries by wide margins. Challengers including Tom Davis, Joshua James, and Harold "Rocky" Jones have declared but trail significantly in resources and name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these structural advantages for the sitting representative, though the short timeline to the primary leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or additional endorsements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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