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TN -06共和党予備選

icon for TN -06共和党予備選

TN -06共和党予備選

ジョニー・ギャレット 60%

ヴァン・ヒレアリー 52%

ジョン・ヘンリー 16%

ナティシャ・ブルックス 8%

Polymarket
新規

ジョニー・ギャレット 60%

ヴァン・ヒレアリー 52%

ジョン・ヘンリー 16%

ナティシャ・ブルックス 8%

Polymarket
新規

ジョニー・ギャレット

$20 Vol.

60%

ヴァン・ヒレアリー

$20 Vol.

36%

ジョン・ヘンリー

$0 Vol.

16%

ナティシャ・ブルックス

$27 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open seat in Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, has produced a competitive Republican primary on August 6 featuring Van Hilleary, Johnny Garrett, Jon Henry, and Natisha Brooks. Hilleary and Garrett lead as the main contenders, both emphasizing Trump-aligned positions on immigration, public safety, and energy policy, while drawing substantial fundraising and operating in a redrawn district that incorporates new Middle Tennessee territory. Brooks's recent suspension and endorsement of Hilleary has consolidated some support without yet shifting the balance decisively. Fundraising edges for Garrett, name recognition for Hilleary, and overlapping conservative voter bases have kept probabilities tightly clustered, with separation likely to emerge from final-week endorsements, turnout patterns, or any late polling that clarifies preferences among the district's core Republican electorate.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$67
終了日
2026/08/06
マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open seat in Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, has produced a competitive Republican primary on August 6 featuring Van Hilleary, Johnny Garrett, Jon Henry, and Natisha Brooks. Hilleary and Garrett lead as the main contenders, both emphasizing Trump-aligned positions on immigration, public safety, and energy policy, while drawing substantial fundraising and operating in a redrawn district that incorporates new Middle Tennessee territory. Brooks's recent suspension and endorsement of Hilleary has consolidated some support without yet shifting the balance decisively. Fundraising edges for Garrett, name recognition for Hilleary, and overlapping conservative voter bases have kept probabilities tightly clustered, with separation likely to emerge from final-week endorsements, turnout patterns, or any late polling that clarifies preferences among the district's core Republican electorate.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$67
終了日
2026/08/06
マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「TN -06共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジョニー・ギャレット」で60%、次いで「ヴァン・ヒレアリー」が36%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、60¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に60%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「TN -06共和党予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 23, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「TN -06共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「TN -06共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジョニー・ギャレット」で60%であり、市場がこの結果に60%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ヴァン・ヒレアリー」で36%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「TN -06共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。