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TN -05共和党予選優勝者

icon for TN -05共和党予選優勝者

TN -05共和党予選優勝者

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Polymarket
新規

アンディ・オグルズ

$0 Vol.

59%

チャーリー・ハッチャー

$0 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Andy Ogles holds a modest edge in the August 6 Republican primary for Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District, yet trader pricing remains tight due to recent mid-cycle redistricting that altered the district’s footprint and a well-funded challenge from former state Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher. Hatcher has secured high-profile endorsements from figures such as former Governor Bill Haslam and ex-U.S. Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue while reporting stronger early fundraising totals, offsetting Ogles’ Trump backing and incumbency advantages. Internal polls showing a near tie, combined with limited name recognition gaps in the revamped district, sustain the narrow spread; further separation could arise from late endorsements, additional polling, or shifts in early-voting turnout before the primary resolves the nominee.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/08/06
マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Andy Ogles holds a modest edge in the August 6 Republican primary for Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District, yet trader pricing remains tight due to recent mid-cycle redistricting that altered the district’s footprint and a well-funded challenge from former state Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher. Hatcher has secured high-profile endorsements from figures such as former Governor Bill Haslam and ex-U.S. Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue while reporting stronger early fundraising totals, offsetting Ogles’ Trump backing and incumbency advantages. Internal polls showing a near tie, combined with limited name recognition gaps in the revamped district, sustain the narrow spread; further separation could arise from late endorsements, additional polling, or shifts in early-voting turnout before the primary resolves the nominee.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/08/06
マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「TN -05共和党予選優勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アンディ・オグルズ」で59%、次いで「チャーリー・ハッチャー」が43%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、59¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に59%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「TN -05共和党予選優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 23, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「TN -05共和党予選優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「TN -05共和党予選優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「アンディ・オグルズ」で59%であり、市場がこの結果に59%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「チャーリー・ハッチャー」で43%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「TN -05共和党予選優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。