Tennessee's 4th congressional district carries a durable Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 70% general-election share in 2024. Scott DesJarlais secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with two-thirds of the vote despite multiple challengers, preserving name recognition and organizational advantages heading into the November 3 general. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no competitive polling suggesting a viable path to victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment within the remaining campaign window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$38,365 Vol.
$38,365 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
$38,365 Vol.
$38,365 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$19,734 Vol.
93%
民主党
$18,631 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district carries a durable Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 70% general-election share in 2024. Scott DesJarlais secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with two-thirds of the vote despite multiple challengers, preserving name recognition and organizational advantages heading into the November 3 general. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no competitive polling suggesting a viable path to victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$38,365終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district carries a durable Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 70% general-election share in 2024. Scott DesJarlais secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with two-thirds of the vote despite multiple challengers, preserving name recognition and organizational advantages heading into the November 3 general. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no competitive polling suggesting a viable path to victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$38,365終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 4th congressional district carries a durable Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 70% general-election share in 2024. Scott DesJarlais secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with two-thirds of the vote despite multiple challengers, preserving name recognition and organizational advantages heading into the November 3 general. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no competitive polling suggesting a viable path to victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment within the remaining campaign window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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