In California's 7th congressional district, trader consensus favors incumbent Doris Matsui at 66% for the November 2026 general election, reflecting her long tenure, established fundraising edge, and broad Democratic endorsements amid a solidly blue district. Mai Vang at 51% trails as the primary runner-up, buoyed by her narrow primary lead and progressive platform on affordability and generational change but facing the typical hurdles for challengers against sitting members. The June 2 top-two primary results, where both Democrats advanced over Republican contenders, set the stage for a November matchup, with market pricing incorporating historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and limited recent polling shifts. Other listed candidates remain at 50% amid negligible general-election prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Mai Vang
56%
Doris Matsui
40%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Mai Vang
$4,240 Vol.
56%
Doris Matsui
$1,318 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 7th congressional district, trader consensus favors incumbent Doris Matsui at 66% for the November 2026 general election, reflecting her long tenure, established fundraising edge, and broad Democratic endorsements amid a solidly blue district. Mai Vang at 51% trails as the primary runner-up, buoyed by her narrow primary lead and progressive platform on affordability and generational change but facing the typical hurdles for challengers against sitting members. The June 2 top-two primary results, where both Democrats advanced over Republican contenders, set the stage for a November matchup, with market pricing incorporating historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and limited recent polling shifts. Other listed candidates remain at 50% amid negligible general-election prospects.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
音量
$5,558終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 7th congressional district, trader consensus favors incumbent Doris Matsui at 66% for the November 2026 general election, reflecting her long tenure, established fundraising edge, and broad Democratic endorsements amid a solidly blue district. Mai Vang at 51% trails as the primary runner-up, buoyed by her narrow primary lead and progressive platform on affordability and generational change but facing the typical hurdles for challengers against sitting members. The June 2 top-two primary results, where both Democrats advanced over Republican contenders, set the stage for a November matchup, with market pricing incorporating historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and limited recent polling shifts. Other listed candidates remain at 50% amid negligible general-election prospects.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,558終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In California's 7th congressional district, trader consensus favors incumbent Doris Matsui at 66% for the November 2026 general election, reflecting her long tenure, established fundraising edge, and broad Democratic endorsements amid a solidly blue district. Mai Vang at 51% trails as the primary runner-up, buoyed by her narrow primary lead and progressive platform on affordability and generational change but facing the typical hurdles for challengers against sitting members. The June 2 top-two primary results, where both Democrats advanced over Republican contenders, set the stage for a November matchup, with market pricing incorporating historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and limited recent polling shifts. Other listed candidates remain at 50% amid negligible general-election prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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