Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ラムザン・カディロフ 75%
アフマト・カディロフ 6%
カリッド・ナカエフ 6%
アダム・カディロフ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
ラムザン・カディロフ
75%
アフマト・カディロフ
6%
カリッド・ナカエフ
6%
アダム・カディロフ
5%
マゴメド・ダウドフ
4%
アプティ・アラウディノフ
4%
イスマイル・デニルハーノフ
4%
アダム・デリムハノフ
4%
ラムザン・カディロフ 75%
アフマト・カディロフ 6%
カリッド・ナカエフ 6%
アダム・カディロフ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
ラムザン・カディロフ
$671 Vol.
75%
アフマト・カディロフ
$233 Vol.
6%
カリッド・ナカエフ
$116 Vol.
6%
アダム・カディロフ
$426 Vol.
5%
マゴメド・ダウドフ
$90 Vol.
4%
アプティ・アラウディノフ
$147 Vol.
4%
イスマイル・デニルハーノフ
$133 Vol.
4%
アダム・デリムハノフ
$137 Vol.
4%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$1,877終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
音量
$1,877終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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