The Illinois 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Delia Ramirez secured her party's nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Republican Angel Oakley advanced similarly on the other side. The district encompasses portions of Cook and DuPage counties with demographics that have consistently supported Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. With no competitive primary challenges or notable controversies emerging since the primaries concluded, the race remains low-profile. A significant shift would require an unexpected development such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong national Republican tailwind capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日IL-03 House Election Winner
$37,631 Vol.
$37,631 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$37,631 Vol.
$37,631 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Delia Ramirez secured her party's nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Republican Angel Oakley advanced similarly on the other side. The district encompasses portions of Cook and DuPage counties with demographics that have consistently supported Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. With no competitive primary challenges or notable controversies emerging since the primaries concluded, the race remains low-profile. A significant shift would require an unexpected development such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong national Republican tailwind capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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