Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and positioning it among the party's safest House seats. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin, while Republicans nominated their candidate in a low-turnout contest. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district's established voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,610 Vol.
$15,610 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$15,610 Vol.
$15,610 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,687 Vol.
95%
共和党
$6,923 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and positioning it among the party's safest House seats. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin, while Republicans nominated their candidate in a low-turnout contest. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$15,610終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and positioning it among the party's safest House seats. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin, while Republicans nominated their candidate in a low-turnout contest. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,610終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and positioning it among the party's safest House seats. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin, while Republicans nominated their candidate in a low-turnout contest. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district's established voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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