Incumbent Republican Steve Womack advanced unopposed in the March 3, 2026, primary for Arkansas's 3rd Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat rated safe by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voter index—bolstering trader consensus on a comfortable hold after consistent 32-point general election victories. Recent FEC reports through March 31 confirm Womack's $2.29 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democrat Robb Ryerse's $4,600, with no polling, scandals, or shifts in the past 30 days amid a Republican-trifecta state. Scenarios like a major Womack controversy, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could narrow odds, though historical base rates in comparable districts indicate slim upset potential before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,897 Vol.
91%
民主党
$765 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Womack advanced unopposed in the March 3, 2026, primary for Arkansas's 3rd Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat rated safe by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voter index—bolstering trader consensus on a comfortable hold after consistent 32-point general election victories. Recent FEC reports through March 31 confirm Womack's $2.29 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democrat Robb Ryerse's $4,600, with no polling, scandals, or shifts in the past 30 days amid a Republican-trifecta state. Scenarios like a major Womack controversy, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could narrow odds, though historical base rates in comparable districts indicate slim upset potential before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$6,662終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Womack advanced unopposed in the March 3, 2026, primary for Arkansas's 3rd Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat rated safe by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voter index—bolstering trader consensus on a comfortable hold after consistent 32-point general election victories. Recent FEC reports through March 31 confirm Womack's $2.29 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democrat Robb Ryerse's $4,600, with no polling, scandals, or shifts in the past 30 days amid a Republican-trifecta state. Scenarios like a major Womack controversy, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could narrow odds, though historical base rates in comparable districts indicate slim upset potential before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,662終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Womack advanced unopposed in the March 3, 2026, primary for Arkansas's 3rd Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat rated safe by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voter index—bolstering trader consensus on a comfortable hold after consistent 32-point general election victories. Recent FEC reports through March 31 confirm Womack's $2.29 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democrat Robb Ryerse's $4,600, with no polling, scandals, or shifts in the past 30 days amid a Republican-trifecta state. Scenarios like a major Womack controversy, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could narrow odds, though historical base rates in comparable districts indicate slim upset potential before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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