Recent polling for Israel's 2026 legislative election shows Ra'am projected at 4–6 seats amid fragmented Arab representation and variable turnout. The party runs independently after negotiations to revive the Joint List stalled, with Ra'am and the Hadash–Ta'al–Balad alliance instead signing a surplus-vote agreement. Trader prices cluster tightly on 4–6 seats because surveys differ on Arab-sector mobilization, the impact of leader Mansour Abbas's pragmatic positioning, and any late addition of candidates such as former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz. Recent disqualification filings and statements ruling out Ra'am from certain coalitions add uncertainty without shifting the narrow band. Final list certifications, turnout trends, and bloc negotiations in the weeks before the vote remain the clearest variables that could widen the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6 33.6%
4 29%
5 26%
4未満 16.3%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
4未満
12%
4
29%
5
26%
6
34%
7
18%
8以上
4%
6 33.6%
4 29%
5 26%
4未満 16.3%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
4未満
$1,108 Vol.
12%
4
$1,807 Vol.
29%
5
$1,271 Vol.
26%
6
$1,526 Vol.
34%
7
$1,111 Vol.
18%
8以上
$895 Vol.
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's 2026 legislative election shows Ra'am projected at 4–6 seats amid fragmented Arab representation and variable turnout. The party runs independently after negotiations to revive the Joint List stalled, with Ra'am and the Hadash–Ta'al–Balad alliance instead signing a surplus-vote agreement. Trader prices cluster tightly on 4–6 seats because surveys differ on Arab-sector mobilization, the impact of leader Mansour Abbas's pragmatic positioning, and any late addition of candidates such as former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz. Recent disqualification filings and statements ruling out Ra'am from certain coalitions add uncertainty without shifting the narrow band. Final list certifications, turnout trends, and bloc negotiations in the weeks before the vote remain the clearest variables that could widen the range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
音量
$7,718終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's 2026 legislative election shows Ra'am projected at 4–6 seats amid fragmented Arab representation and variable turnout. The party runs independently after negotiations to revive the Joint List stalled, with Ra'am and the Hadash–Ta'al–Balad alliance instead signing a surplus-vote agreement. Trader prices cluster tightly on 4–6 seats because surveys differ on Arab-sector mobilization, the impact of leader Mansour Abbas's pragmatic positioning, and any late addition of candidates such as former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz. Recent disqualification filings and statements ruling out Ra'am from certain coalitions add uncertainty without shifting the narrow band. Final list certifications, turnout trends, and bloc negotiations in the weeks before the vote remain the clearest variables that could widen the range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$7,718終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's 2026 legislative election shows Ra'am projected at 4–6 seats amid fragmented Arab representation and variable turnout. The party runs independently after negotiations to revive the Joint List stalled, with Ra'am and the Hadash–Ta'al–Balad alliance instead signing a surplus-vote agreement. Trader prices cluster tightly on 4–6 seats because surveys differ on Arab-sector mobilization, the impact of leader Mansour Abbas's pragmatic positioning, and any late addition of candidates such as former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz. Recent disqualification filings and statements ruling out Ra'am from certain coalitions add uncertainty without shifting the narrow band. Final list certifications, turnout trends, and bloc negotiations in the weeks before the vote remain the clearest variables that could widen the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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