Incumbent Republican Keith Self secured the nomination in Texas' 3rd Congressional District GOP primary on March 3, solidifying his path in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report after 2025 redistricting added rural, GOP-leaning counties east of Dallas suburbs. With minimal polling available and historical incumbency advantages in safe districts, traders price Republicans at 85% implied probability for the November 3 general election, viewing Democratic nominee Evan Hunt as an underdog amid fundraising gaps and demographic tilts favoring conservatives. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this consensus, though national midterm dynamics or late endorsements could influence odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,985 Vol.
$13,985 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
85%
民主党
12%
$13,985 Vol.
$13,985 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,676 Vol.
85%
民主党
$6,309 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self secured the nomination in Texas' 3rd Congressional District GOP primary on March 3, solidifying his path in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report after 2025 redistricting added rural, GOP-leaning counties east of Dallas suburbs. With minimal polling available and historical incumbency advantages in safe districts, traders price Republicans at 85% implied probability for the November 3 general election, viewing Democratic nominee Evan Hunt as an underdog amid fundraising gaps and demographic tilts favoring conservatives. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this consensus, though national midterm dynamics or late endorsements could influence odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$13,985終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self secured the nomination in Texas' 3rd Congressional District GOP primary on March 3, solidifying his path in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report after 2025 redistricting added rural, GOP-leaning counties east of Dallas suburbs. With minimal polling available and historical incumbency advantages in safe districts, traders price Republicans at 85% implied probability for the November 3 general election, viewing Democratic nominee Evan Hunt as an underdog amid fundraising gaps and demographic tilts favoring conservatives. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this consensus, though national midterm dynamics or late endorsements could influence odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,985終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Keith Self secured the nomination in Texas' 3rd Congressional District GOP primary on March 3, solidifying his path in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report after 2025 redistricting added rural, GOP-leaning counties east of Dallas suburbs. With minimal polling available and historical incumbency advantages in safe districts, traders price Republicans at 85% implied probability for the November 3 general election, viewing Democratic nominee Evan Hunt as an underdog amid fundraising gaps and demographic tilts favoring conservatives. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this consensus, though national midterm dynamics or late endorsements could influence odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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