Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Ezell secured the GOP nomination in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District primary on March 10, 2026, defeating challenger Sawyer Walters and advancing unopposed effectively to face Democratic state Rep. Jeffrey Hulum III in the November 3 general election. This outcome reinforces trader consensus on a Republican hold in the solidly conservative district, where Ezell won by 28 points in 2024 amid a partisan voter index favoring Republicans by over 15 points. Ezell's fundraising dominance, with incumbents far outpacing challengers as of late April, bolsters his path to victory, while absent polls or scandals keep Democratic prospects dim absent national wave shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,730 Vol.
$23,730 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
86%
民主党
4%
$23,730 Vol.
$23,730 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,428 Vol.
86%
民主党
$14,301 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Ezell secured the GOP nomination in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District primary on March 10, 2026, defeating challenger Sawyer Walters and advancing unopposed effectively to face Democratic state Rep. Jeffrey Hulum III in the November 3 general election. This outcome reinforces trader consensus on a Republican hold in the solidly conservative district, where Ezell won by 28 points in 2024 amid a partisan voter index favoring Republicans by over 15 points. Ezell's fundraising dominance, with incumbents far outpacing challengers as of late April, bolsters his path to victory, while absent polls or scandals keep Democratic prospects dim absent national wave shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$23,730終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Ezell secured the GOP nomination in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District primary on March 10, 2026, defeating challenger Sawyer Walters and advancing unopposed effectively to face Democratic state Rep. Jeffrey Hulum III in the November 3 general election. This outcome reinforces trader consensus on a Republican hold in the solidly conservative district, where Ezell won by 28 points in 2024 amid a partisan voter index favoring Republicans by over 15 points. Ezell's fundraising dominance, with incumbents far outpacing challengers as of late April, bolsters his path to victory, while absent polls or scandals keep Democratic prospects dim absent national wave shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,730終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Ezell secured the GOP nomination in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District primary on March 10, 2026, defeating challenger Sawyer Walters and advancing unopposed effectively to face Democratic state Rep. Jeffrey Hulum III in the November 3 general election. This outcome reinforces trader consensus on a Republican hold in the solidly conservative district, where Ezell won by 28 points in 2024 amid a partisan voter index favoring Republicans by over 15 points. Ezell's fundraising dominance, with incumbents far outpacing challengers as of late April, bolsters his path to victory, while absent polls or scandals keep Democratic prospects dim absent national wave shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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