Morena holds the strongest position in the Sinaloa state congress following its 2024 majority win and recent internal consensus on the Mesa Directiva leadership for the current legislative term. Recent votes confirming an interim governor with 31 in favor underscore the party's legislative dominance alongside PT and PVEM allies. National momentum from Morena's projected federal majority and ongoing internal polling for the 2027 state process further support trader pricing. Opposition parties including PRI, PAN, and MC trail amid fragmented support and lower affiliation numbers, while security concerns and candidate selection dynamics introduce uncertainty that keeps secondary contenders from closing the gap ahead of the next congress vote.