Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 to represent California's Silicon Valley-based 16th district, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the November 2026 general election. The seat's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its D+25 partisan voting index and uniform Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, underpin the 92.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. With filing deadlines approaching in March 2026 and a June primary, limited Republican opposition has emerged so far, reducing prospects for an upset. Factors that could still shift outcomes include an unusually strong Republican primary performance or late shifts in national midterm dynamics that boost turnout among conservative voters in the district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$76,170 Vol.
$76,170 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$76,170 Vol.
$76,170 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$48,949 Vol.
93%
共和党
$27,220 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 to represent California's Silicon Valley-based 16th district, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the November 2026 general election. The seat's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its D+25 partisan voting index and uniform Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, underpin the 92.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. With filing deadlines approaching in March 2026 and a June primary, limited Republican opposition has emerged so far, reducing prospects for an upset. Factors that could still shift outcomes include an unusually strong Republican primary performance or late shifts in national midterm dynamics that boost turnout among conservative voters in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$76,170終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 to represent California's Silicon Valley-based 16th district, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the November 2026 general election. The seat's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its D+25 partisan voting index and uniform Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, underpin the 92.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. With filing deadlines approaching in March 2026 and a June primary, limited Republican opposition has emerged so far, reducing prospects for an upset. Factors that could still shift outcomes include an unusually strong Republican primary performance or late shifts in national midterm dynamics that boost turnout among conservative voters in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$76,170終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 to represent California's Silicon Valley-based 16th district, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the November 2026 general election. The seat's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its D+25 partisan voting index and uniform Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, underpin the 92.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. With filing deadlines approaching in March 2026 and a June primary, limited Republican opposition has emerged so far, reducing prospects for an upset. Factors that could still shift outcomes include an unusually strong Republican primary performance or late shifts in national midterm dynamics that boost turnout among conservative voters in the district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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