Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern seeks a sixteenth term in Massachusetts' 2nd district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and delivered him 68.6% of the vote in 2024. No Republican candidates have filed for the September 1 primary ahead of the November 3 general election, leaving the seat effectively uncontested by the opposition party. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan composition in central Massachusetts and the absence of credible challengers. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though an independent bid or late primary surprise could still introduce limited uncertainty before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$58,172 Vol.
$58,172 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$58,172 Vol.
$58,172 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$32,718 Vol.
95%
共和党
$25,454 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern seeks a sixteenth term in Massachusetts' 2nd district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and delivered him 68.6% of the vote in 2024. No Republican candidates have filed for the September 1 primary ahead of the November 3 general election, leaving the seat effectively uncontested by the opposition party. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan composition in central Massachusetts and the absence of credible challengers. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though an independent bid or late primary surprise could still introduce limited uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$58,172終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern seeks a sixteenth term in Massachusetts' 2nd district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and delivered him 68.6% of the vote in 2024. No Republican candidates have filed for the September 1 primary ahead of the November 3 general election, leaving the seat effectively uncontested by the opposition party. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan composition in central Massachusetts and the absence of credible challengers. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though an independent bid or late primary surprise could still introduce limited uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$58,172終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern seeks a sixteenth term in Massachusetts' 2nd district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and delivered him 68.6% of the vote in 2024. No Republican candidates have filed for the September 1 primary ahead of the November 3 general election, leaving the seat effectively uncontested by the opposition party. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan composition in central Massachusetts and the absence of credible challengers. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though an independent bid or late primary surprise could still introduce limited uncertainty before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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