The TX-30 district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins such as the 2024 presidential performance, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold. The open seat created by incumbent Jasmine Crockett's Senate bid did not alter fundamentals, as Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination with over 72 percent in the March primary against limited opposition. Republican nominee Everett Jackson faces structural headwinds in a district spanning heavily Democratic areas of southern Dallas County. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Only late-cycle developments such as a significant candidate scandal, health issue, or dramatic national realignment would realistically narrow the gap enough to shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,644 Vol.
$42,644 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$42,644 Vol.
$42,644 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$5,578 Vol.
96%
共和党
$37,067 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-30 district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins such as the 2024 presidential performance, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold. The open seat created by incumbent Jasmine Crockett's Senate bid did not alter fundamentals, as Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination with over 72 percent in the March primary against limited opposition. Republican nominee Everett Jackson faces structural headwinds in a district spanning heavily Democratic areas of southern Dallas County. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Only late-cycle developments such as a significant candidate scandal, health issue, or dramatic national realignment would realistically narrow the gap enough to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$42,644終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-30 district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins such as the 2024 presidential performance, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold. The open seat created by incumbent Jasmine Crockett's Senate bid did not alter fundamentals, as Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination with over 72 percent in the March primary against limited opposition. Republican nominee Everett Jackson faces structural headwinds in a district spanning heavily Democratic areas of southern Dallas County. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Only late-cycle developments such as a significant candidate scandal, health issue, or dramatic national realignment would realistically narrow the gap enough to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,644終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-30 district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins such as the 2024 presidential performance, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold. The open seat created by incumbent Jasmine Crockett's Senate bid did not alter fundamentals, as Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination with over 72 percent in the March primary against limited opposition. Republican nominee Everett Jackson faces structural headwinds in a district spanning heavily Democratic areas of southern Dallas County. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Only late-cycle developments such as a significant candidate scandal, health issue, or dramatic national realignment would realistically narrow the gap enough to shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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