Indiana's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential results and establishing a structural edge that aligns with trader consensus. Incumbent Republican Jefferson Shreve benefits from this baseline, limited Democratic opposition after Cynthia Wirth's primary win, and uniform "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. National generic ballot trends showing a modest Democratic lead have not altered local dynamics. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap include a significant Republican scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that exceeds historical district margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,567 Vol.
$32,567 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
96%
民主党
5%
$32,567 Vol.
$32,567 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$19,584 Vol.
96%
民主党
$12,983 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Indiana's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential results and establishing a structural edge that aligns with trader consensus. Incumbent Republican Jefferson Shreve benefits from this baseline, limited Democratic opposition after Cynthia Wirth's primary win, and uniform "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. National generic ballot trends showing a modest Democratic lead have not altered local dynamics. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap include a significant Republican scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that exceeds historical district margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$32,567終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Indiana's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential results and establishing a structural edge that aligns with trader consensus. Incumbent Republican Jefferson Shreve benefits from this baseline, limited Democratic opposition after Cynthia Wirth's primary win, and uniform "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. National generic ballot trends showing a modest Democratic lead have not altered local dynamics. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap include a significant Republican scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that exceeds historical district margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,567終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Indiana's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential results and establishing a structural edge that aligns with trader consensus. Incumbent Republican Jefferson Shreve benefits from this baseline, limited Democratic opposition after Cynthia Wirth's primary win, and uniform "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. National generic ballot trends showing a modest Democratic lead have not altered local dynamics. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap include a significant Republican scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that exceeds historical district margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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