Peggy Flanagan's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Minnesota U.S. Senate race stems from her recent Democratic primary victory with 59% of the vote for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, combined with Minnesota's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests and her profile as the state's lieutenant governor with established party infrastructure and endorsements. The November 3 general election matchup against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, who secured her primary with 52%, occurs in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 2002, producing early polling advantages for Democrats on the generic ballot. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though outcomes could shift with national political waves, candidate debate performances, turnout variations among key voting blocs, or late developments in campaign messaging on policy priorities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$31,632 Vol.
91%
共和党
$15,862 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Minnesota U.S. Senate race stems from her recent Democratic primary victory with 59% of the vote for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, combined with Minnesota's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests and her profile as the state's lieutenant governor with established party infrastructure and endorsements. The November 3 general election matchup against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, who secured her primary with 52%, occurs in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 2002, producing early polling advantages for Democrats on the generic ballot. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though outcomes could shift with national political waves, candidate debate performances, turnout variations among key voting blocs, or late developments in campaign messaging on policy priorities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$47,494終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Minnesota U.S. Senate race stems from her recent Democratic primary victory with 59% of the vote for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, combined with Minnesota's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests and her profile as the state's lieutenant governor with established party infrastructure and endorsements. The November 3 general election matchup against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, who secured her primary with 52%, occurs in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 2002, producing early polling advantages for Democrats on the generic ballot. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though outcomes could shift with national political waves, candidate debate performances, turnout variations among key voting blocs, or late developments in campaign messaging on policy priorities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$47,494終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Minnesota U.S. Senate race stems from her recent Democratic primary victory with 59% of the vote for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, combined with Minnesota's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests and her profile as the state's lieutenant governor with established party infrastructure and endorsements. The November 3 general election matchup against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, who secured her primary with 52%, occurs in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 2002, producing early polling advantages for Democrats on the generic ballot. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though outcomes could shift with national political waves, candidate debate performances, turnout variations among key voting blocs, or late developments in campaign messaging on policy priorities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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