**Washington’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** Incumbent Dan Newhouse (R) is not seeking re-election, creating an open-seat contest in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. The August 4 top-two primary produced a clear general-election matchup between Republican Amanda McKinney, who led with roughly 35% of the vote, and Democrat John Duresky at about 31%, with other Republican contenders trailing. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure in the central Washington agricultural region. Trader pricing near 90% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major late developments capable of altering the district’s partisan baseline before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$50,436 Vol.
$50,436 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
90%
民主党
8%
$50,436 Vol.
$50,436 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$27,826 Vol.
90%
民主党
$22,611 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Washington’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** Incumbent Dan Newhouse (R) is not seeking re-election, creating an open-seat contest in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. The August 4 top-two primary produced a clear general-election matchup between Republican Amanda McKinney, who led with roughly 35% of the vote, and Democrat John Duresky at about 31%, with other Republican contenders trailing. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure in the central Washington agricultural region. Trader pricing near 90% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major late developments capable of altering the district’s partisan baseline before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$50,436終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Washington’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** Incumbent Dan Newhouse (R) is not seeking re-election, creating an open-seat contest in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. The August 4 top-two primary produced a clear general-election matchup between Republican Amanda McKinney, who led with roughly 35% of the vote, and Democrat John Duresky at about 31%, with other Republican contenders trailing. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure in the central Washington agricultural region. Trader pricing near 90% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major late developments capable of altering the district’s partisan baseline before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$50,436終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Washington’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** Incumbent Dan Newhouse (R) is not seeking re-election, creating an open-seat contest in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. The August 4 top-two primary produced a clear general-election matchup between Republican Amanda McKinney, who led with roughly 35% of the vote, and Democrat John Duresky at about 31%, with other Republican contenders trailing. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure in the central Washington agricultural region. Trader pricing near 90% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major late developments capable of altering the district’s partisan baseline before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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