Democratic incumbent Jonathan Jackson's unopposed March 2026 primary victory and the district's consistent D+18 partisan voting index underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.8 percent. Jackson secured 65.8 percent in the prior cycle in this South Side Chicago and suburban Cook County seat, where Democratic registration and turnout patterns have produced double-digit margins in recent House contests. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. Late developments such as an unforeseen national Republican wave, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high crossover voting could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for similar districts show limited path to an upset absent major shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日IL-01 House Election Winner
IL-01 House Election Winner
$42,394 Vol.
$42,394 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$42,394 Vol.
$42,394 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
$19,221 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$23,173 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Jonathan Jackson's unopposed March 2026 primary victory and the district's consistent D+18 partisan voting index underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.8 percent. Jackson secured 65.8 percent in the prior cycle in this South Side Chicago and suburban Cook County seat, where Democratic registration and turnout patterns have produced double-digit margins in recent House contests. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. Late developments such as an unforeseen national Republican wave, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high crossover voting could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for similar districts show limited path to an upset absent major shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$42,394終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Jonathan Jackson's unopposed March 2026 primary victory and the district's consistent D+18 partisan voting index underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.8 percent. Jackson secured 65.8 percent in the prior cycle in this South Side Chicago and suburban Cook County seat, where Democratic registration and turnout patterns have produced double-digit margins in recent House contests. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. Late developments such as an unforeseen national Republican wave, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high crossover voting could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for similar districts show limited path to an upset absent major shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,394終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Jonathan Jackson's unopposed March 2026 primary victory and the district's consistent D+18 partisan voting index underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.8 percent. Jackson secured 65.8 percent in the prior cycle in this South Side Chicago and suburban Cook County seat, where Democratic registration and turnout patterns have produced double-digit margins in recent House contests. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. Late developments such as an unforeseen national Republican wave, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high crossover voting could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for similar districts show limited path to an upset absent major shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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