The solidly Republican character of Illinois's 12th congressional district, combined with incumbent Representative Mike Bost's unopposed primary victory and established fundraising edge, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican win. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report classify the seat as solidly Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, where Democrat Julie Fortier will challenge. Bost's long tenure and the district's rural southern Illinois base have produced consistent margins that limit Democratic opportunities. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpectedly high Democratic turnout or late-breaking national shifts, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent's party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,926 Vol.
$17,926 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$17,926 Vol.
$17,926 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,790 Vol.
94%
民主党
$10,136 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Illinois's 12th congressional district, combined with incumbent Representative Mike Bost's unopposed primary victory and established fundraising edge, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican win. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report classify the seat as solidly Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, where Democrat Julie Fortier will challenge. Bost's long tenure and the district's rural southern Illinois base have produced consistent margins that limit Democratic opportunities. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpectedly high Democratic turnout or late-breaking national shifts, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent's party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$17,926終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Illinois's 12th congressional district, combined with incumbent Representative Mike Bost's unopposed primary victory and established fundraising edge, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican win. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report classify the seat as solidly Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, where Democrat Julie Fortier will challenge. Bost's long tenure and the district's rural southern Illinois base have produced consistent margins that limit Democratic opportunities. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpectedly high Democratic turnout or late-breaking national shifts, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent's party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,926終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Illinois's 12th congressional district, combined with incumbent Representative Mike Bost's unopposed primary victory and established fundraising edge, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican win. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report classify the seat as solidly Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, where Democrat Julie Fortier will challenge. Bost's long tenure and the district's rural southern Illinois base have produced consistent margins that limit Democratic opportunities. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpectedly high Democratic turnout or late-breaking national shifts, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent's party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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