North Carolina’s 4th congressional district encompasses Durham, Orange, and parts of Chatham and Wake counties and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23. Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured the party nomination after a narrow March 2026 primary and faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. The seat has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Foushee’s 2024 reelection with nearly 72 percent of the vote. Trader pricing reflects the district’s structural Democratic advantage and the absence of any polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive Republican challenge. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,520 Vol.
$25,520 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$25,520 Vol.
$25,520 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,749 Vol.
95%
共和党
$10,771 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district encompasses Durham, Orange, and parts of Chatham and Wake counties and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23. Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured the party nomination after a narrow March 2026 primary and faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. The seat has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Foushee’s 2024 reelection with nearly 72 percent of the vote. Trader pricing reflects the district’s structural Democratic advantage and the absence of any polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive Republican challenge. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$25,520終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district encompasses Durham, Orange, and parts of Chatham and Wake counties and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23. Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured the party nomination after a narrow March 2026 primary and faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. The seat has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Foushee’s 2024 reelection with nearly 72 percent of the vote. Trader pricing reflects the district’s structural Democratic advantage and the absence of any polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive Republican challenge. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,520終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 4th congressional district encompasses Durham, Orange, and parts of Chatham and Wake counties and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23. Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured the party nomination after a narrow March 2026 primary and faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. The seat has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Foushee’s 2024 reelection with nearly 72 percent of the vote. Trader pricing reflects the district’s structural Democratic advantage and the absence of any polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive Republican challenge. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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