Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support between 6.1% and 7.5%, with a Demoskop survey from late July to early August showing 7.5% and the PolitPro trend at 6.7% after modest recent gains. As a Tidö coalition partner with the Moderates and Liberals, KD benefits from centre-right voter consolidation and bloc dynamics tracked across Novus and Indikator surveys. Traders assign the Over 6% outcome a 63.5% implied probability to reflect this polling trajectory and the short window remaining before ballots close, though smaller-party volatility and final turnout shifts could still influence the result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Over
64% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/13
Over
64% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/13
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support between 6.1% and 7.5%, with a Demoskop survey from late July to early August showing 7.5% and the PolitPro trend at 6.7% after modest recent gains. As a Tidö coalition partner with the Moderates and Liberals, KD benefits from centre-right voter consolidation and bloc dynamics tracked across Novus and Indikator surveys. Traders assign the Over 6% outcome a 63.5% implied probability to reflect this polling trajectory and the short window remaining before ballots close, though smaller-party volatility and final turnout shifts could still influence the result.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 5:39 AM ET
音量
$229終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 5:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support between 6.1% and 7.5%, with a Demoskop survey from late July to early August showing 7.5% and the PolitPro trend at 6.7% after modest recent gains. As a Tidö coalition partner with the Moderates and Liberals, KD benefits from centre-right voter consolidation and bloc dynamics tracked across Novus and Indikator surveys. Traders assign the Over 6% outcome a 63.5% implied probability to reflect this polling trajectory and the short window remaining before ballots close, though smaller-party volatility and final turnout shifts could still influence the result.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
音量
$229終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 5:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support between 6.1% and 7.5%, with a Demoskop survey from late July to early August showing 7.5% and the PolitPro trend at 6.7% after modest recent gains. As a Tidö coalition partner with the Moderates and Liberals, KD benefits from centre-right voter consolidation and bloc dynamics tracked across Novus and Indikator surveys. Traders assign the Over 6% outcome a 63.5% implied probability to reflect this polling trajectory and the short window remaining before ballots close, though smaller-party volatility and final turnout shifts could still influence the result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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