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政治·ブラジル

アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者

icon for アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者
政治·ブラジル

アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者

カボ・ダシオロ 44%

ダビデ・アルメイダ 44%

オマール・アジズ 44%

プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ 44%

Polymarket
新規

カボ・ダシオロ 44%

ダビデ・アルメイダ 44%

オマール・アジズ 44%

プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ 44%

Polymarket
新規
icon for カボ・ダシオロ

カボ・ダシオロ

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for ダビデ・アルメイダ

ダビデ・アルメイダ

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for オマール・アジズ

オマール・アジズ

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ

プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for ロベルト・シダーデ

ロベルト・シダーデ

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス

ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス

$20 Vol.

9%

icon for イサエル・ムンドゥルク

イサエル・ムンドゥルク

$25 Vol.

44%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of seven registered candidates for the October 4, 2026, Amazonas gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered near even odds, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner after the August 15 candidacy deadline. Recent indirect election of incumbent Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and early polling averages showing narrow leads or ties among figures such as Maria do Carmo (PL), Omar Aziz (PSD), and David Almeida (Avante) underscore the competitive dynamics. Alliances with national parties, voter turnout in Manaus, and campaign launches in the coming weeks could consolidate support or split the vote further, while any late shifts in coalitions or polling trends among swing blocs may create separation ahead of the first round.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$45
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of seven registered candidates for the October 4, 2026, Amazonas gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered near even odds, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner after the August 15 candidacy deadline. Recent indirect election of incumbent Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and early polling averages showing narrow leads or ties among figures such as Maria do Carmo (PL), Omar Aziz (PSD), and David Almeida (Avante) underscore the competitive dynamics. Alliances with national parties, voter turnout in Manaus, and campaign launches in the coming weeks could consolidate support or split the vote further, while any late shifts in coalitions or polling trends among swing blocs may create separation ahead of the first round.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$45
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「カボ・ダシオロ」で44%、次いで「ダビデ・アルメイダ」が44%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、44¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に44%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 17, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「カボ・ダシオロ」で44%であり、市場がこの結果に44%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ダビデ・アルメイダ」で44%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。