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icon for 嘉義市長選挙の勝者

嘉義市長選挙の勝者

icon for 嘉義市長選挙の勝者

嘉義市長選挙の勝者

王美惠 78%

張啓楷 15%

黄宏成 4.7%

陳嘉斌 4.5%

Polymarket

$10,695 Vol.

王美惠 78%

張啓楷 15%

黄宏成 4.7%

陳嘉斌 4.5%

Polymarket

$10,695 Vol.

icon for 王美惠

王美惠

$7,739 Vol.

78%

icon for 張啓楷

張啓楷

$1,617 Vol.

15%

icon for 黄宏成

黄宏成

$344 Vol.

5%

icon for 陳嘉斌

陳嘉斌

$248 Vol.

4%

icon for 陳凱煌

陳凱煌

$240 Vol.

3%

icon for 翁章梁

翁章梁

$508 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator representing Chiayi City, holds the leading position at 76.5% implied probability following her October 2025 nomination for the November 28, 2026, local election. Recent polling shows her ahead of opposition challenger Chang Chi-kai by several points, driven by stronger support among older voters and the DPP's organizational advantages in the city. Chang secured the joint KMT-TPP nomination in April 2026 after prevailing in a primary against Weng Shou-liang, consolidating opposition votes but trailing at 17%. Lower-priced candidates including Huang Hung-cheng, Chen Chia-ping, and others reflect limited viability in current voter surveys and registration timelines, with trader consensus embedding these structural and polling factors ahead of candidate registration and campaign developments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$10,695
終了日
2026/11/28
マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator representing Chiayi City, holds the leading position at 76.5% implied probability following her October 2025 nomination for the November 28, 2026, local election. Recent polling shows her ahead of opposition challenger Chang Chi-kai by several points, driven by stronger support among older voters and the DPP's organizational advantages in the city. Chang secured the joint KMT-TPP nomination in April 2026 after prevailing in a primary against Weng Shou-liang, consolidating opposition votes but trailing at 17%. Lower-priced candidates including Huang Hung-cheng, Chen Chia-ping, and others reflect limited viability in current voter surveys and registration timelines, with trader consensus embedding these structural and polling factors ahead of candidate registration and campaign developments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$10,695
終了日
2026/11/28
マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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よくある質問

「嘉義市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「王美惠」で78%、次いで「張啓楷」が15%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「嘉義市長選挙の勝者」は$10.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 14, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「嘉義市長選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「嘉義市長選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「王美惠」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「張啓楷」で15%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「嘉義市長選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。