Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator representing Chiayi City, holds the leading position at 76.5% implied probability following her October 2025 nomination for the November 28, 2026, local election. Recent polling shows her ahead of opposition challenger Chang Chi-kai by several points, driven by stronger support among older voters and the DPP's organizational advantages in the city. Chang secured the joint KMT-TPP nomination in April 2026 after prevailing in a primary against Weng Shou-liang, consolidating opposition votes but trailing at 17%. Lower-priced candidates including Huang Hung-cheng, Chen Chia-ping, and others reflect limited viability in current voter surveys and registration timelines, with trader consensus embedding these structural and polling factors ahead of candidate registration and campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日王美惠 78%
張啓楷 15%
黄宏成 4.7%
陳嘉斌 4.5%
$10,695 Vol.
$10,695 Vol.

王美惠
78%

張啓楷
15%

黄宏成
5%

陳嘉斌
4%

陳凱煌
3%

翁章梁
<1%
王美惠 78%
張啓楷 15%
黄宏成 4.7%
陳嘉斌 4.5%
$10,695 Vol.
$10,695 Vol.

王美惠
78%

張啓楷
15%

黄宏成
5%

陳嘉斌
4%

陳凱煌
3%

翁章梁
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator representing Chiayi City, holds the leading position at 76.5% implied probability following her October 2025 nomination for the November 28, 2026, local election. Recent polling shows her ahead of opposition challenger Chang Chi-kai by several points, driven by stronger support among older voters and the DPP's organizational advantages in the city. Chang secured the joint KMT-TPP nomination in April 2026 after prevailing in a primary against Weng Shou-liang, consolidating opposition votes but trailing at 17%. Lower-priced candidates including Huang Hung-cheng, Chen Chia-ping, and others reflect limited viability in current voter surveys and registration timelines, with trader consensus embedding these structural and polling factors ahead of candidate registration and campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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