Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 87% implied probability in the market due to the county's long-standing KMT structural advantage and her established local institutional role. The November 28, 2026, local election features four registered candidates following the September 4 filing deadline: Wu, DPP nominee and indigenous legislator Chen Ying at 8.8%, and two independents including Li Wu Ying-chih at 0.1%. Chen's campaign draws on her Puyuma heritage and family political networks in a county where roughly one-quarter of voters are indigenous, yet historical patterns show no prior DPP magistrate victory. A September 2026 prosecutorial probe into alleged misuse of public funds for a resort-linked road project involving Wu's family and allied councilors has drawn scrutiny but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日呉秀華 87%
陳瑩 8.8%
李武英志 <1%
新規
新規
2027/06/30
呉秀華
87%
陳瑩
9%
李武英志
<1%
呉秀華 87%
陳瑩 8.8%
李武英志 <1%
新規
新規
2027/06/30
呉秀華
$3,990 Vol.
87%
陳瑩
$4,152 Vol.
9%
李武英志
$1,124 Vol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 87% implied probability in the market due to the county's long-standing KMT structural advantage and her established local institutional role. The November 28, 2026, local election features four registered candidates following the September 4 filing deadline: Wu, DPP nominee and indigenous legislator Chen Ying at 8.8%, and two independents including Li Wu Ying-chih at 0.1%. Chen's campaign draws on her Puyuma heritage and family political networks in a county where roughly one-quarter of voters are indigenous, yet historical patterns show no prior DPP magistrate victory. A September 2026 prosecutorial probe into alleged misuse of public funds for a resort-linked road project involving Wu's family and allied councilors has drawn scrutiny but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
音量
$9,266終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 87% implied probability in the market due to the county's long-standing KMT structural advantage and her established local institutional role. The November 28, 2026, local election features four registered candidates following the September 4 filing deadline: Wu, DPP nominee and indigenous legislator Chen Ying at 8.8%, and two independents including Li Wu Ying-chih at 0.1%. Chen's campaign draws on her Puyuma heritage and family political networks in a county where roughly one-quarter of voters are indigenous, yet historical patterns show no prior DPP magistrate victory. A September 2026 prosecutorial probe into alleged misuse of public funds for a resort-linked road project involving Wu's family and allied councilors has drawn scrutiny but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$9,266終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 87% implied probability in the market due to the county's long-standing KMT structural advantage and her established local institutional role. The November 28, 2026, local election features four registered candidates following the September 4 filing deadline: Wu, DPP nominee and indigenous legislator Chen Ying at 8.8%, and two independents including Li Wu Ying-chih at 0.1%. Chen's campaign draws on her Puyuma heritage and family political networks in a county where roughly one-quarter of voters are indigenous, yet historical patterns show no prior DPP magistrate victory. A September 2026 prosecutorial probe into alleged misuse of public funds for a resort-linked road project involving Wu's family and allied councilors has drawn scrutiny but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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