Trader consensus prices the Piauí gubernatorial race as highly fragmented, with multiple declared candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) holds a commanding position in recent AtlasIntel polling for a potential first-round victory, yet the market reflects ongoing uncertainty over opposition consolidation, party alliances, and turnout dynamics ahead of the October 2026 vote. Key challengers including Joel Rodrigues (PP), Elizeu Aguiar (Novo), and several smaller-party figures remain active, with procedural factors such as candidate registration deadlines and possible second-round scenarios still capable of shifting probabilities. The spread of implied probabilities underscores the race’s sensitivity to late developments in voter mobilization and coalition negotiations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エリゼウ・アギアール 44%
ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ 44%
ジョエル・ロドリゲス 44%
ロウルデス・メロ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
エリゼウ・アギアール
44%
ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ
44%
ジョエル・ロドリゲス
44%
ロウルデス・メロ
44%
ジスバウド教授
44%
ジュリティ教授
44%
ラヴェンナ・ダ・インクルザォン
44%
サンティアゴ・ベリザリオ
44%
ドラ・ルシア・サントス
44%
グスタヴォ・フェイジョ
43%
ラファエル・フォンテレス
43%
エリゼウ・アギアール 44%
ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ 44%
ジョエル・ロドリゲス 44%
ロウルデス・メロ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
エリゼウ・アギアール
$0 Vol.
44%
ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ
$0 Vol.
44%
ジョエル・ロドリゲス
$0 Vol.
44%
ロウルデス・メロ
$0 Vol.
44%
ジスバウド教授
$0 Vol.
44%
ジュリティ教授
$0 Vol.
44%
ラヴェンナ・ダ・インクルザォン
$0 Vol.
44%
サンティアゴ・ベリザリオ
$0 Vol.
44%
ドラ・ルシア・サントス
$0 Vol.
44%
グスタヴォ・フェイジョ
$0 Vol.
43%
ラファエル・フォンテレス
$0 Vol.
43%
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus prices the Piauí gubernatorial race as highly fragmented, with multiple declared candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) holds a commanding position in recent AtlasIntel polling for a potential first-round victory, yet the market reflects ongoing uncertainty over opposition consolidation, party alliances, and turnout dynamics ahead of the October 2026 vote. Key challengers including Joel Rodrigues (PP), Elizeu Aguiar (Novo), and several smaller-party figures remain active, with procedural factors such as candidate registration deadlines and possible second-round scenarios still capable of shifting probabilities. The spread of implied probabilities underscores the race’s sensitivity to late developments in voter mobilization and coalition negotiations.
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus prices the Piauí gubernatorial race as highly fragmented, with multiple declared candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) holds a commanding position in recent AtlasIntel polling for a potential first-round victory, yet the market reflects ongoing uncertainty over opposition consolidation, party alliances, and turnout dynamics ahead of the October 2026 vote. Key challengers including Joel Rodrigues (PP), Elizeu Aguiar (Novo), and several smaller-party figures remain active, with procedural factors such as candidate registration deadlines and possible second-round scenarios still capable of shifting probabilities. The spread of implied probabilities underscores the race’s sensitivity to late developments in voter mobilization and coalition negotiations.
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices the Piauí gubernatorial race as highly fragmented, with multiple declared candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) holds a commanding position in recent AtlasIntel polling for a potential first-round victory, yet the market reflects ongoing uncertainty over opposition consolidation, party alliances, and turnout dynamics ahead of the October 2026 vote. Key challengers including Joel Rodrigues (PP), Elizeu Aguiar (Novo), and several smaller-party figures remain active, with procedural factors such as candidate registration deadlines and possible second-round scenarios still capable of shifting probabilities. The spread of implied probabilities underscores the race’s sensitivity to late developments in voter mobilization and coalition negotiations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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