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icon for サンタカタリーナ州上院選挙: 1位

サンタカタリーナ州上院選挙: 1位

icon for サンタカタリーナ州上院選挙: 1位

サンタカタリーナ州上院選挙: 1位

Joaninha de Oliveira 45%

Carol de Toni 45%

Décio Lima 45%

Marcos Dorval 44%

Polymarket
新規

Joaninha de Oliveira 45%

Carol de Toni 45%

Décio Lima 45%

Marcos Dorval 44%

Polymarket
新規
icon for Joaninha de Oliveira

Joaninha de Oliveira

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Carol de Toni

Carol de Toni

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Marcos Dorval

Marcos Dorval

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marlene Soccas

Marlene Soccas

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Carol

Carol

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Lunelli

Lunelli

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Carlos Bolsonaro

Carlos Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Esperidião Amin

Esperidião Amin

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Jeferson da Rocha

Jeferson da Rocha

$0 Vol.

41%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of over two dozen registered candidates for Santa Catarina's two Senate seats has kept trader prices tightly clustered, with no single contender establishing a clear lead in recent surveys. Official party conventions in early August formalized high-profile bids from the PL ticket of Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni, alongside Esperidião Amin of the PP and Décio Lima of the PT, sustaining uncertainty over vote consolidation among right-leaning and center-right blocs. Limited polling through late July showed the PL pair ahead on first-preference mentions but within striking distance of established state figures and smaller-party options, while coalition negotiations and turnout dynamics in the October general election remain key variables that could shift the ordering before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of over two dozen registered candidates for Santa Catarina's two Senate seats has kept trader prices tightly clustered, with no single contender establishing a clear lead in recent surveys. Official party conventions in early August formalized high-profile bids from the PL ticket of Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni, alongside Esperidião Amin of the PP and Décio Lima of the PT, sustaining uncertainty over vote consolidation among right-leaning and center-right blocs. Limited polling through late July showed the PL pair ahead on first-preference mentions but within striking distance of established state figures and smaller-party options, while coalition negotiations and turnout dynamics in the October general election remain key variables that could shift the ordering before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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よくある質問

「サンタカタリーナ州上院選挙: 1位」はPolymarket上の13個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Joaninha de Oliveira」で46%、次いで「Carol de Toni」が46%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、46¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に46%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「サンタカタリーナ州上院選挙: 1位」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 17, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「サンタカタリーナ州上院選挙: 1位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている13個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「サンタカタリーナ州上院選挙: 1位」の現在のフロントランナーは「Joaninha de Oliveira」で46%であり、市場がこの結果に46%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Carol de Toni」で46%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「サンタカタリーナ州上院選挙: 1位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。