Recent polling in Santa Catarina shows Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro, both from the PL, consistently leading or near the top in first- and second-vote intentions for the October 4, 2026, election of two senators, creating tight competition for second place. Surveys from July and August indicate they hold double-digit support while Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, Afrânio Boppré, and others trail further back, though margins remain narrow enough for shifts. Party conventions have finalized the field of 13 candidates, with voter preferences for the second seat still fluid amid overlapping bases and limited time before voting. These dynamics sustain balanced probabilities among frontrunners in trader assessments, with further polling or late campaign events likely to clarify separation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日キャロル・デ・トニ 27%
カルロス・ボルソナロ 23%
アフラニオ・ボップレ 6%
エスペリディオン・アミン 5%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
キャロル・デ・トニ
27%
カルロス・ボルソナロ
23%
アフラニオ・ボップレ
6%
エスペリディオン・アミン
5%
ルネッリ
4%
ジェフェルソン・ダ・ロシャ
4%
マルコス・ドルヴァル
3%
マーレーネ・ソッカス
3%
トゥリオ・デ・アモリム・フゼンライター
3%
デシオ・リマ
2%
キャロル
2%
アナ・ルシア・ダ・シルベイラ・マシャド
2%
ジョアニーニャ・デ・オリヴェイラ
1%
キャロル・デ・トニ 27%
カルロス・ボルソナロ 23%
アフラニオ・ボップレ 6%
エスペリディオン・アミン 5%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
キャロル・デ・トニ
$1,221 Vol.
27%
カルロス・ボルソナロ
$1,086 Vol.
23%
アフラニオ・ボップレ
$227 Vol.
6%
エスペリディオン・アミン
$95 Vol.
5%
ルネッリ
$259 Vol.
4%
ジェフェルソン・ダ・ロシャ
$494 Vol.
4%
マルコス・ドルヴァル
$95 Vol.
3%
マーレーネ・ソッカス
$95 Vol.
3%
トゥリオ・デ・アモリム・フゼンライター
$95 Vol.
3%
デシオ・リマ
$210 Vol.
2%
キャロル
$136 Vol.
2%
アナ・ルシア・ダ・シルベイラ・マシャド
$114 Vol.
2%
ジョアニーニャ・デ・オリヴェイラ
$269 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Santa Catarina shows Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro, both from the PL, consistently leading or near the top in first- and second-vote intentions for the October 4, 2026, election of two senators, creating tight competition for second place. Surveys from July and August indicate they hold double-digit support while Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, Afrânio Boppré, and others trail further back, though margins remain narrow enough for shifts. Party conventions have finalized the field of 13 candidates, with voter preferences for the second seat still fluid amid overlapping bases and limited time before voting. These dynamics sustain balanced probabilities among frontrunners in trader assessments, with further polling or late campaign events likely to clarify separation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
音量
$4,391終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Santa Catarina shows Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro, both from the PL, consistently leading or near the top in first- and second-vote intentions for the October 4, 2026, election of two senators, creating tight competition for second place. Surveys from July and August indicate they hold double-digit support while Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, Afrânio Boppré, and others trail further back, though margins remain narrow enough for shifts. Party conventions have finalized the field of 13 candidates, with voter preferences for the second seat still fluid amid overlapping bases and limited time before voting. These dynamics sustain balanced probabilities among frontrunners in trader assessments, with further polling or late campaign events likely to clarify separation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$4,391終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Santa Catarina shows Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro, both from the PL, consistently leading or near the top in first- and second-vote intentions for the October 4, 2026, election of two senators, creating tight competition for second place. Surveys from July and August indicate they hold double-digit support while Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, Afrânio Boppré, and others trail further back, though margins remain narrow enough for shifts. Party conventions have finalized the field of 13 candidates, with voter preferences for the second seat still fluid amid overlapping bases and limited time before voting. These dynamics sustain balanced probabilities among frontrunners in trader assessments, with further polling or late campaign events likely to clarify separation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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