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icon for 次期ツワネ市長（プレトリア） ？
政治·南アフリカ

次期ツワネ市長（プレトリア） ？

icon for 次期ツワネ市長（プレトリア） ？
政治·南アフリカ

次期ツワネ市長（プレトリア） ？

シリアーズ・ブリンク 36%

ナシフィ・モヤ 24%

オムフィレ・マオトウェ 12%

トランギ・モガレ 8%

Polymarket
新規

シリアーズ・ブリンク 36%

ナシフィ・モヤ 24%

オムフィレ・マオトウェ 12%

トランギ・モガレ 8%

Polymarket
新規
icon for シリアーズ・ブリンク

シリアーズ・ブリンク

$21 Vol.

47%

icon for ナシフィ・モヤ

ナシフィ・モヤ

$1,090 Vol.

24%

icon for オムフィレ・マオトウェ

オムフィレ・マオトウェ

$21 Vol.

27%

icon for トランギ・モガレ

トランギ・モガレ

$21 Vol.

23%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tshwane's November 4, 2026 local government elections feature a crowded field where no single party is expected to secure an outright council majority, making post-election coalition negotiations the decisive factor in selecting the mayor. Cilliers Brink, the DA's candidate and a former mayor, holds the highest implied probability among named contenders due to the party's organizational strength and record in the metro, while EFF's Omphile Maotwe, ActionSA's Nasiphi Moya, and others such as Tlangi Mogale compete for support among different voter blocs. Recent candidate announcements and alliance formations, including RISE Mzansi-GOOD cooperation, have reinforced the fragmented landscape without producing a clear frontrunner. Traders price the outcome tightly because historical coalition dynamics in Gauteng metros have frequently delivered surprises, and upcoming ward-level campaigning could still shift negotiating leverage among parties.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,153
終了日
2026/11/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tshwane's November 4, 2026 local government elections feature a crowded field where no single party is expected to secure an outright council majority, making post-election coalition negotiations the decisive factor in selecting the mayor. Cilliers Brink, the DA's candidate and a former mayor, holds the highest implied probability among named contenders due to the party's organizational strength and record in the metro, while EFF's Omphile Maotwe, ActionSA's Nasiphi Moya, and others such as Tlangi Mogale compete for support among different voter blocs. Recent candidate announcements and alliance formations, including RISE Mzansi-GOOD cooperation, have reinforced the fragmented landscape without producing a clear frontrunner. Traders price the outcome tightly because historical coalition dynamics in Gauteng metros have frequently delivered surprises, and upcoming ward-level campaigning could still shift negotiating leverage among parties.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,153
終了日
2026/11/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「次期ツワネ市長（プレトリア） ？」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「シリアーズ・ブリンク」で47%、次いで「オムフィレ・マオトウェ」が27%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、47¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に47%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「次期ツワネ市長（プレトリア） ？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 18, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「次期ツワネ市長（プレトリア） ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次期ツワネ市長（プレトリア） ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「シリアーズ・ブリンク」で47%であり、市場がこの結果に47%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「オムフィレ・マオトウェ」で27%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次期ツワネ市長（プレトリア） ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。