Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent Democratic Alliance mayor and newly elected DA federal leader, holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for Cape Town's 2026 municipal election. His June 2026 formal selection as the party's candidate, combined with a five-pledge platform focused on policing, service delivery, housing, jobs, and public spaces, has reinforced perceptions of continuity and strong organizational backing in a city long governed by the DA. Opposition nominees—including EFF's Nontando Nolutshungu, ANC figures, ActionSA's Dereleen James, GOOD's Brett Herron, Patriotic Alliance's Cheslyn Steenberg, and BOSA's Roger Solomons—register far lower implied probabilities, reflecting limited recent momentum or polling visibility ahead of the November vote. Scheduled campaign events and the DA's record of metro governance continue to anchor the market's assessment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイス 90%
ノンタンド・ノルツング 6%
カリード・サイード 5%
ロジャー・ソロモンズ 2.6%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイス
90%
ノンタンド・ノルツング
6%
カリード・サイード
5%
ロジャー・ソロモンズ
3%
チェスリン・スティーンバーグ
3%
デリリーン・ジェームズ
2%
ブレット・ヘロン
1%
エレン・パッキーズ
1%
ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイス 90%
ノンタンド・ノルツング 6%
カリード・サイード 5%
ロジャー・ソロモンズ 2.6%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイス
$3,025 Vol.
90%
ノンタンド・ノルツング
$155 Vol.
6%
カリード・サイード
$159 Vol.
5%
ロジャー・ソロモンズ
$124 Vol.
3%
チェスリン・スティーンバーグ
$110 Vol.
3%
デリリーン・ジェームズ
$124 Vol.
2%
ブレット・ヘロン
$109 Vol.
1%
エレン・パッキーズ
$125 Vol.
1%
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent Democratic Alliance mayor and newly elected DA federal leader, holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for Cape Town's 2026 municipal election. His June 2026 formal selection as the party's candidate, combined with a five-pledge platform focused on policing, service delivery, housing, jobs, and public spaces, has reinforced perceptions of continuity and strong organizational backing in a city long governed by the DA. Opposition nominees—including EFF's Nontando Nolutshungu, ANC figures, ActionSA's Dereleen James, GOOD's Brett Herron, Patriotic Alliance's Cheslyn Steenberg, and BOSA's Roger Solomons—register far lower implied probabilities, reflecting limited recent momentum or polling visibility ahead of the November vote. Scheduled campaign events and the DA's record of metro governance continue to anchor the market's assessment.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
音量
$3,932終了日
2026/11/18マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent Democratic Alliance mayor and newly elected DA federal leader, holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for Cape Town's 2026 municipal election. His June 2026 formal selection as the party's candidate, combined with a five-pledge platform focused on policing, service delivery, housing, jobs, and public spaces, has reinforced perceptions of continuity and strong organizational backing in a city long governed by the DA. Opposition nominees—including EFF's Nontando Nolutshungu, ANC figures, ActionSA's Dereleen James, GOOD's Brett Herron, Patriotic Alliance's Cheslyn Steenberg, and BOSA's Roger Solomons—register far lower implied probabilities, reflecting limited recent momentum or polling visibility ahead of the November vote. Scheduled campaign events and the DA's record of metro governance continue to anchor the market's assessment.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,932終了日
2026/11/18マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent Democratic Alliance mayor and newly elected DA federal leader, holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for Cape Town's 2026 municipal election. His June 2026 formal selection as the party's candidate, combined with a five-pledge platform focused on policing, service delivery, housing, jobs, and public spaces, has reinforced perceptions of continuity and strong organizational backing in a city long governed by the DA. Opposition nominees—including EFF's Nontando Nolutshungu, ANC figures, ActionSA's Dereleen James, GOOD's Brett Herron, Patriotic Alliance's Cheslyn Steenberg, and BOSA's Roger Solomons—register far lower implied probabilities, reflecting limited recent momentum or polling visibility ahead of the November vote. Scheduled campaign events and the DA's record of metro governance continue to anchor the market's assessment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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