Recent candidate registrations by the August 15 deadline have formalized a crowded field for Roraima’s single Senate seat, with figures including incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Teresa Surita (MDB), Rogério Miranda, and others entering the race. This has sustained closely matched trader probabilities among top names, as older surveys showed no dominant leader and the small state electorate often produces fragmented results. Party conventions and alliances have further distributed support without clear separation. Fresh polling, debate performances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs before the October election could widen gaps in the implied probabilities reflected by market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Rogério Miranda 22%
Mario Rocha 21%
Márcio Junqueira 21%
Helio Bolsonaro 21%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Rogério Miranda
22%
Mario Rocha
21%
Márcio Junqueira
21%
Helio Bolsonaro
21%
Regina Tio Ivo
21%
Hiperion de Oliveira
19%
Hilton Xavier
20%
Chico Rodrigues
23%
Teresa Surita
17%
Nicoletti
22%
Helena da Asatur
21%
Pastor Isamar
21%
Bartô Macuxi
8%
Rogério Miranda 22%
Mario Rocha 21%
Márcio Junqueira 21%
Helio Bolsonaro 21%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Rogério Miranda
$57 Vol.
22%
Mario Rocha
$57 Vol.
21%
Márcio Junqueira
$57 Vol.
21%
Helio Bolsonaro
$57 Vol.
21%
Regina Tio Ivo
$57 Vol.
21%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$73 Vol.
19%
Hilton Xavier
$57 Vol.
20%
Chico Rodrigues
$73 Vol.
23%
Teresa Surita
$57 Vol.
17%
Nicoletti
$78 Vol.
22%
Helena da Asatur
$66 Vol.
21%
Pastor Isamar
$78 Vol.
21%
Bartô Macuxi
$57 Vol.
8%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent candidate registrations by the August 15 deadline have formalized a crowded field for Roraima’s single Senate seat, with figures including incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Teresa Surita (MDB), Rogério Miranda, and others entering the race. This has sustained closely matched trader probabilities among top names, as older surveys showed no dominant leader and the small state electorate often produces fragmented results. Party conventions and alliances have further distributed support without clear separation. Fresh polling, debate performances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs before the October election could widen gaps in the implied probabilities reflected by market pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
音量
$821終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent candidate registrations by the August 15 deadline have formalized a crowded field for Roraima’s single Senate seat, with figures including incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Teresa Surita (MDB), Rogério Miranda, and others entering the race. This has sustained closely matched trader probabilities among top names, as older surveys showed no dominant leader and the small state electorate often produces fragmented results. Party conventions and alliances have further distributed support without clear separation. Fresh polling, debate performances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs before the October election could widen gaps in the implied probabilities reflected by market pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$821終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent candidate registrations by the August 15 deadline have formalized a crowded field for Roraima’s single Senate seat, with figures including incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Teresa Surita (MDB), Rogério Miranda, and others entering the race. This has sustained closely matched trader probabilities among top names, as older surveys showed no dominant leader and the small state electorate often produces fragmented results. Party conventions and alliances have further distributed support without clear separation. Fresh polling, debate performances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs before the October election could widen gaps in the implied probabilities reflected by market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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