Lula maintains a leading position among traders for first place in Ceará’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s traditional support for Workers’ Party candidates in the Northeast. Recent national polling shows Lula widening his edge over Flávio Bolsonaro following controversies involving the senator’s recorded requests for campaign-related funds and a temporary public rift with Michelle Bolsonaro that later reconciled. Opposition fragmentation across multiple right-leaning figures, including Zema, Caiado, and Marçal, along with local factors such as alliances involving Ceará Senator Eduardo Girão, has limited any single challenger’s ability to consolidate votes. Scheduled first-round balloting on October 4 leaves room for shifts driven by further campaign events, regional economic messaging, or late endorsements that could alter the current tight distribution of implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ルーラ 83%
エジミルソン・コスタ 32%
レナン・サントス 23%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ 22%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ルーラ
84%
エジミルソン・コスタ
32%
レナン・サントス
23%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
22%
ヘルツ・ディアス
20%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
17%
エスクリトール・アウグスト・クリー
7%
クラリアナ・バラオ
6%
パブロ・マルシャル
5%
ロナルド・カイアド
1%
サマラ
24%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
21%
ゼマ
18%
ルーラ 83%
エジミルソン・コスタ 32%
レナン・サントス 23%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ 22%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ルーラ
$240 Vol.
84%
エジミルソン・コスタ
$132 Vol.
32%
レナン・サントス
$62 Vol.
23%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
$82 Vol.
22%
ヘルツ・ディアス
$82 Vol.
20%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$132 Vol.
17%
エスクリトール・アウグスト・クリー
$82 Vol.
7%
クラリアナ・バラオ
$82 Vol.
6%
パブロ・マルシャル
$82 Vol.
5%
ロナルド・カイアド
$82 Vol.
1%
サマラ
$132 Vol.
24%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
$82 Vol.
21%
ゼマ
$132 Vol.
18%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a leading position among traders for first place in Ceará’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s traditional support for Workers’ Party candidates in the Northeast. Recent national polling shows Lula widening his edge over Flávio Bolsonaro following controversies involving the senator’s recorded requests for campaign-related funds and a temporary public rift with Michelle Bolsonaro that later reconciled. Opposition fragmentation across multiple right-leaning figures, including Zema, Caiado, and Marçal, along with local factors such as alliances involving Ceará Senator Eduardo Girão, has limited any single challenger’s ability to consolidate votes. Scheduled first-round balloting on October 4 leaves room for shifts driven by further campaign events, regional economic messaging, or late endorsements that could alter the current tight distribution of implied probabilities.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
音量
$1,403終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a leading position among traders for first place in Ceará’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s traditional support for Workers’ Party candidates in the Northeast. Recent national polling shows Lula widening his edge over Flávio Bolsonaro following controversies involving the senator’s recorded requests for campaign-related funds and a temporary public rift with Michelle Bolsonaro that later reconciled. Opposition fragmentation across multiple right-leaning figures, including Zema, Caiado, and Marçal, along with local factors such as alliances involving Ceará Senator Eduardo Girão, has limited any single challenger’s ability to consolidate votes. Scheduled first-round balloting on October 4 leaves room for shifts driven by further campaign events, regional economic messaging, or late endorsements that could alter the current tight distribution of implied probabilities.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$1,403終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a leading position among traders for first place in Ceará’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s traditional support for Workers’ Party candidates in the Northeast. Recent national polling shows Lula widening his edge over Flávio Bolsonaro following controversies involving the senator’s recorded requests for campaign-related funds and a temporary public rift with Michelle Bolsonaro that later reconciled. Opposition fragmentation across multiple right-leaning figures, including Zema, Caiado, and Marçal, along with local factors such as alliances involving Ceará Senator Eduardo Girão, has limited any single challenger’s ability to consolidate votes. Scheduled first-round balloting on October 4 leaves room for shifts driven by further campaign events, regional economic messaging, or late endorsements that could alter the current tight distribution of implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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