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icon for ピントン郡治安判事選挙の勝者

ピントン郡治安判事選挙の勝者

icon for ピントン郡治安判事選挙の勝者

ピントン郡治安判事選挙の勝者

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icon for 周春米

周春米

$1,406 Vol.

87%

icon for 蘇清泉

蘇清泉

$1,537 Vol.

15%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Incumbent Chou Chun-mi holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pingtung County magistrate race due to her established record since winning the seat in 2022 as the county’s first elected female magistrate.** The Democratic Progressive Party formally nominated her for re-election in February 2026, reinforcing party unity ahead of the November vote. Kuomintang nominee Su Ching-chuan, a former legislator selected by his party earlier in 2026, serves as the primary challenger but faces structural headwinds typical for the opposition in this southern county. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with Chou’s incumbency advantage, prior electoral margin, and local party infrastructure outweighing opposition efforts to date. No major late-breaking developments have altered the contest in recent months, leaving the implied probabilities anchored to baseline factors such as name recognition, turnout patterns, and historical DPP performance in Pingtung.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$2,943
終了日
2026/11/28
マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Incumbent Chou Chun-mi holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pingtung County magistrate race due to her established record since winning the seat in 2022 as the county’s first elected female magistrate.** The Democratic Progressive Party formally nominated her for re-election in February 2026, reinforcing party unity ahead of the November vote. Kuomintang nominee Su Ching-chuan, a former legislator selected by his party earlier in 2026, serves as the primary challenger but faces structural headwinds typical for the opposition in this southern county. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with Chou’s incumbency advantage, prior electoral margin, and local party infrastructure outweighing opposition efforts to date. No major late-breaking developments have altered the contest in recent months, leaving the implied probabilities anchored to baseline factors such as name recognition, turnout patterns, and historical DPP performance in Pingtung.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$2,943
終了日
2026/11/28
マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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よくある質問

「ピントン郡治安判事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「周春米」で87%、次いで「蘇清泉」が14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、87¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に87%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ピントン郡治安判事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 14, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ピントン郡治安判事選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ピントン郡治安判事選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「周春米」で87%であり、市場がこの結果に87%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「蘇清泉」で14%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ピントン郡治安判事選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。