**Yu Shu-chen holds a dominant 79% implied probability in the Hualien County Magistrate race as the Kuomintang’s official nominee, following her March 2026 selection by the party’s Central Standing Committee after an internal poll.** The nomination came despite internal pushback from other KMT-aligned figures such as Ho Chi-sheng and Yeh Yao-hui, who questioned the process fairness, and amid competing interest from county council speaker Chang Chun. Hualien’s long-standing KMT alignment, combined with the term limit barring incumbent Hsu Chen-wei from seeking re-election, has concentrated support behind the party’s chosen candidate. Independent Wei Chia-hsien trails at 18%, with remaining contenders at negligible levels. Limited subsequent developments, including May 2026 scrutiny over campaign-related school distributions, have not materially altered trader consensus ahead of the November 28 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ユ・シューチェン 79%
魏嘉賢 18%
張鈞 4.1%
羅佩琴 <1%
新規
新規
2027/06/30
ユ・シューチェン
79%
魏嘉賢
18%
張鈞
4%
羅佩琴
<1%
葉耀輝
<1%
ユ・シューチェン 79%
魏嘉賢 18%
張鈞 4.1%
羅佩琴 <1%
新規
新規
2027/06/30
ユ・シューチェン
$2,566 Vol.
79%
魏嘉賢
$1,220 Vol.
18%
張鈞
$780 Vol.
4%
羅佩琴
$430 Vol.
<1%
葉耀輝
$754 Vol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Yu Shu-chen holds a dominant 79% implied probability in the Hualien County Magistrate race as the Kuomintang’s official nominee, following her March 2026 selection by the party’s Central Standing Committee after an internal poll.** The nomination came despite internal pushback from other KMT-aligned figures such as Ho Chi-sheng and Yeh Yao-hui, who questioned the process fairness, and amid competing interest from county council speaker Chang Chun. Hualien’s long-standing KMT alignment, combined with the term limit barring incumbent Hsu Chen-wei from seeking re-election, has concentrated support behind the party’s chosen candidate. Independent Wei Chia-hsien trails at 18%, with remaining contenders at negligible levels. Limited subsequent developments, including May 2026 scrutiny over campaign-related school distributions, have not materially altered trader consensus ahead of the November 28 vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
音量
$5,750終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Yu Shu-chen holds a dominant 79% implied probability in the Hualien County Magistrate race as the Kuomintang’s official nominee, following her March 2026 selection by the party’s Central Standing Committee after an internal poll.** The nomination came despite internal pushback from other KMT-aligned figures such as Ho Chi-sheng and Yeh Yao-hui, who questioned the process fairness, and amid competing interest from county council speaker Chang Chun. Hualien’s long-standing KMT alignment, combined with the term limit barring incumbent Hsu Chen-wei from seeking re-election, has concentrated support behind the party’s chosen candidate. Independent Wei Chia-hsien trails at 18%, with remaining contenders at negligible levels. Limited subsequent developments, including May 2026 scrutiny over campaign-related school distributions, have not materially altered trader consensus ahead of the November 28 vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$5,750終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Yu Shu-chen holds a dominant 79% implied probability in the Hualien County Magistrate race as the Kuomintang’s official nominee, following her March 2026 selection by the party’s Central Standing Committee after an internal poll.** The nomination came despite internal pushback from other KMT-aligned figures such as Ho Chi-sheng and Yeh Yao-hui, who questioned the process fairness, and amid competing interest from county council speaker Chang Chun. Hualien’s long-standing KMT alignment, combined with the term limit barring incumbent Hsu Chen-wei from seeking re-election, has concentrated support behind the party’s chosen candidate. Independent Wei Chia-hsien trails at 18%, with remaining contenders at negligible levels. Limited subsequent developments, including May 2026 scrutiny over campaign-related school distributions, have not materially altered trader consensus ahead of the November 28 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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