The Rondônia gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with multiple pre-candidates from different parties keeping implied probabilities clustered near even. Recent July polling from Real Time Big Data showed Marcos Rogério (PL) ahead at 36% but still facing close competition from Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 28%, followed by Hildon Chaves (União), Expedito Netto (PT), and others in single digits. High undecided shares and the absence of finalized coalitions or major campaign events sustain trader caution. Key upcoming catalysts include party conventions, alliance negotiations, and further surveys that could consolidate support or highlight frontrunners in this open contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アダイルトン・フリア 41%
エクスペディト・ネット 41%
サミュエル・コスタ 41%
ペドロ・アビブ 40%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
アダイルトン・フリア
41%
エクスペディト・ネット
41%
サミュエル・コスタ
41%
ペドロ・アビブ
40%
ヒルドン・シャヴェス
38%
マルコス・ロジェリオ
38%
アダイルトン・フリア 41%
エクスペディト・ネット 41%
サミュエル・コスタ 41%
ペドロ・アビブ 40%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
アダイルトン・フリア
$0 Vol.
41%
エクスペディト・ネット
$0 Vol.
41%
サミュエル・コスタ
$0 Vol.
41%
ペドロ・アビブ
$0 Vol.
40%
ヒルドン・シャヴェス
$0 Vol.
38%
マルコス・ロジェリオ
$0 Vol.
38%
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rondônia gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with multiple pre-candidates from different parties keeping implied probabilities clustered near even. Recent July polling from Real Time Big Data showed Marcos Rogério (PL) ahead at 36% but still facing close competition from Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 28%, followed by Hildon Chaves (União), Expedito Netto (PT), and others in single digits. High undecided shares and the absence of finalized coalitions or major campaign events sustain trader caution. Key upcoming catalysts include party conventions, alliance negotiations, and further surveys that could consolidate support or highlight frontrunners in this open contest.
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rondônia gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with multiple pre-candidates from different parties keeping implied probabilities clustered near even. Recent July polling from Real Time Big Data showed Marcos Rogério (PL) ahead at 36% but still facing close competition from Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 28%, followed by Hildon Chaves (União), Expedito Netto (PT), and others in single digits. High undecided shares and the absence of finalized coalitions or major campaign events sustain trader caution. Key upcoming catalysts include party conventions, alliance negotiations, and further surveys that could consolidate support or highlight frontrunners in this open contest.
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rondônia gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with multiple pre-candidates from different parties keeping implied probabilities clustered near even. Recent July polling from Real Time Big Data showed Marcos Rogério (PL) ahead at 36% but still facing close competition from Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 28%, followed by Hildon Chaves (União), Expedito Netto (PT), and others in single digits. High undecided shares and the absence of finalized coalitions or major campaign events sustain trader caution. Key upcoming catalysts include party conventions, alliance negotiations, and further surveys that could consolidate support or highlight frontrunners in this open contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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