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icon for アラゴアス州知事選挙の勝者

アラゴアス州知事選挙の勝者

icon for アラゴアス州知事選挙の勝者

アラゴアス州知事選挙の勝者

JHC 42%

レナン・フィリョ 41%

マルシオ・ジャンボ 18%

レニルダ・ルナ 0

Polymarket
新規

JHC 42%

レナン・フィリョ 41%

マルシオ・ジャンボ 18%

レニルダ・ルナ 0

Polymarket
新規
icon for JHC

JHC

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for レナン・フィリョ

レナン・フィリョ

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for マルシオ・ジャンボ

マルシオ・ジャンボ

$0 Vol.

18%

icon for レニルダ・ルナ

レニルダ・ルナ

$20 Vol.

45%

The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial contest remains tightly balanced between frontrunners JHC and Renan Filho, with recent polling averages showing minimal separation and reflecting trader consensus on an uncertain outcome. JHC, who stepped down as Maceió mayor in April, benefits from local alliances including a vice-governor pact that split from the Calheiros group, while Renan Filho draws on his prior governorship, Senate tenure, and recent role as transport minister. Exchanges of criticism on social policy and voter profiles have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October first-round vote, with both candidates positioned for a potential runoff. Fragmented opposition candidacies and shifting coalitions continue to limit any decisive lead.

The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$20
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial contest remains tightly balanced between frontrunners JHC and Renan Filho, with recent polling averages showing minimal separation and reflecting trader consensus on an uncertain outcome. JHC, who stepped down as Maceió mayor in April, benefits from local alliances including a vice-governor pact that split from the Calheiros group, while Renan Filho draws on his prior governorship, Senate tenure, and recent role as transport minister. Exchanges of criticism on social policy and voter profiles have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October first-round vote, with both candidates positioned for a potential runoff. Fragmented opposition candidacies and shifting coalitions continue to limit any decisive lead.

The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$20
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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よくある質問

「アラゴアス州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「レニルダ・ルナ」で45%、次いで「JHC」が42%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、45¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に45%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「アラゴアス州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 17, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「アラゴアス州知事選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アラゴアス州知事選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「レニルダ・ルナ」で45%であり、市場がこの結果に45%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「JHC」で42%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アラゴアス州知事選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。