Incumbent Democratic Representative Becca Balint holds a commanding position in Vermont’s at-large House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her party at 94.5 percent. She secured the Democratic nomination with 98 percent in the August 11 primary and leads Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by double-digit margins in University of New Hampshire polling, consistent with Vermont’s longstanding Democratic preference in federal contests and all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Malloy’s primary victory has not shifted the underlying dynamics. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national realignment could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability given current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,989 Vol.
$34,989 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$34,989 Vol.
$34,989 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$8,650 Vol.
95%
共和党
$26,340 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Becca Balint holds a commanding position in Vermont’s at-large House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her party at 94.5 percent. She secured the Democratic nomination with 98 percent in the August 11 primary and leads Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by double-digit margins in University of New Hampshire polling, consistent with Vermont’s longstanding Democratic preference in federal contests and all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Malloy’s primary victory has not shifted the underlying dynamics. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national realignment could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability given current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$34,989終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Becca Balint holds a commanding position in Vermont’s at-large House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her party at 94.5 percent. She secured the Democratic nomination with 98 percent in the August 11 primary and leads Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by double-digit margins in University of New Hampshire polling, consistent with Vermont’s longstanding Democratic preference in federal contests and all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Malloy’s primary victory has not shifted the underlying dynamics. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national realignment could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability given current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,989終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Becca Balint holds a commanding position in Vermont’s at-large House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her party at 94.5 percent. She secured the Democratic nomination with 98 percent in the August 11 primary and leads Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by double-digit margins in University of New Hampshire polling, consistent with Vermont’s longstanding Democratic preference in federal contests and all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Malloy’s primary victory has not shifted the underlying dynamics. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national realignment could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability given current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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