Virginia's 6th congressional district remains structurally favorable to Republicans following the state Supreme Court's May 8 ruling that invalidated the voter-approved redistricting amendment, preserving the existing 2021 map. Incumbent Republican Ben Cline faces no primary opposition and holds a consistent edge in fundraising and name recognition heading into the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Democratic contenders including Beth Macy, Ken Mitchell, and others are competing in a crowded primary but operate in a district where Republicans have won recent cycles by double-digit margins. These factors underpin trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 72.5 percent implied probability while assigning the Democratic Party 16.5 percent. No major new developments have altered the competitive landscape in the past week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$79,514 Vol.
$79,514 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
73%
民主党
16%
$79,514 Vol.
$79,514 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$26,189 Vol.
73%
民主党
$53,325 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 6th congressional district remains structurally favorable to Republicans following the state Supreme Court's May 8 ruling that invalidated the voter-approved redistricting amendment, preserving the existing 2021 map. Incumbent Republican Ben Cline faces no primary opposition and holds a consistent edge in fundraising and name recognition heading into the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Democratic contenders including Beth Macy, Ken Mitchell, and others are competing in a crowded primary but operate in a district where Republicans have won recent cycles by double-digit margins. These factors underpin trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 72.5 percent implied probability while assigning the Democratic Party 16.5 percent. No major new developments have altered the competitive landscape in the past week.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$79,514終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 6th congressional district remains structurally favorable to Republicans following the state Supreme Court's May 8 ruling that invalidated the voter-approved redistricting amendment, preserving the existing 2021 map. Incumbent Republican Ben Cline faces no primary opposition and holds a consistent edge in fundraising and name recognition heading into the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Democratic contenders including Beth Macy, Ken Mitchell, and others are competing in a crowded primary but operate in a district where Republicans have won recent cycles by double-digit margins. These factors underpin trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 72.5 percent implied probability while assigning the Democratic Party 16.5 percent. No major new developments have altered the competitive landscape in the past week.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$79,514終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 6th congressional district remains structurally favorable to Republicans following the state Supreme Court's May 8 ruling that invalidated the voter-approved redistricting amendment, preserving the existing 2021 map. Incumbent Republican Ben Cline faces no primary opposition and holds a consistent edge in fundraising and name recognition heading into the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Democratic contenders including Beth Macy, Ken Mitchell, and others are competing in a crowded primary but operate in a district where Republicans have won recent cycles by double-digit margins. These factors underpin trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 72.5 percent implied probability while assigning the Democratic Party 16.5 percent. No major new developments have altered the competitive landscape in the past week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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