Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 75.5% in Virginia's 5th Congressional District House race due to the district's R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and recent ratings shifts to Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections following the Virginia Supreme Court's early May ruling blocking Democratic-led mid-decade redistricting under the current map. Incumbent Rep. John McGuire (R), who won 57.5% in 2024, faces primary challengers Bob Good and Melanie Lucero but leads in fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. Democrats' crowded primary—led by well-funded former Rep. Tom Perriello—remains fragmented ahead of the August 4 primaries, reinforcing the GOP's structural edge in this rural Trump stronghold despite a May 11 appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$52,244 Vol.
$52,244 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
75%
民主党
25%
$52,244 Vol.
$52,244 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$23,932 Vol.
75%
民主党
$28,312 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 75.5% in Virginia's 5th Congressional District House race due to the district's R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and recent ratings shifts to Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections following the Virginia Supreme Court's early May ruling blocking Democratic-led mid-decade redistricting under the current map. Incumbent Rep. John McGuire (R), who won 57.5% in 2024, faces primary challengers Bob Good and Melanie Lucero but leads in fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. Democrats' crowded primary—led by well-funded former Rep. Tom Perriello—remains fragmented ahead of the August 4 primaries, reinforcing the GOP's structural edge in this rural Trump stronghold despite a May 11 appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$52,244終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 75.5% in Virginia's 5th Congressional District House race due to the district's R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and recent ratings shifts to Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections following the Virginia Supreme Court's early May ruling blocking Democratic-led mid-decade redistricting under the current map. Incumbent Rep. John McGuire (R), who won 57.5% in 2024, faces primary challengers Bob Good and Melanie Lucero but leads in fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. Democrats' crowded primary—led by well-funded former Rep. Tom Perriello—remains fragmented ahead of the August 4 primaries, reinforcing the GOP's structural edge in this rural Trump stronghold despite a May 11 appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$52,244終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 75.5% in Virginia's 5th Congressional District House race due to the district's R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and recent ratings shifts to Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections following the Virginia Supreme Court's early May ruling blocking Democratic-led mid-decade redistricting under the current map. Incumbent Rep. John McGuire (R), who won 57.5% in 2024, faces primary challengers Bob Good and Melanie Lucero but leads in fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. Democrats' crowded primary—led by well-funded former Rep. Tom Perriello—remains fragmented ahead of the August 4 primaries, reinforcing the GOP's structural edge in this rural Trump stronghold despite a May 11 appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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