Incumbent Republican Brad Knott holds a clear edge in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district, where trader consensus shows him at 67% for the November 3, 2026, general election against Democrat Paul Barringer. The district carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and favored Republicans by double digits in recent presidential voting, following mid-decade redistricting that strengthened GOP positioning. Knott, a former federal prosecutor first elected in 2024, secured his primary with nearly 90% of the vote, while Barringer won the Democratic nomination with 59%. Fundraising favors the incumbent, and independent forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. The DCCC’s early-October addition of the seat to its target list has not shifted the underlying partisan fundamentals enough to close the gap in prediction markets.