Texas's 20th congressional district, centered in San Antonio, has long favored Democratic candidates in House elections due to its partisan composition and voting history. Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Edgardo Baez in November. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Castro's established position, limited Republican recruitment or funding, and the district's consistent performance in recent cycles. Current trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead. Only an unforeseen development—such as a significant scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an extreme national political shift—would likely alter this positioning before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,590 Vol.
$24,590 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$24,590 Vol.
$24,590 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,059 Vol.
94%
共和党
$12,531 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 20th congressional district, centered in San Antonio, has long favored Democratic candidates in House elections due to its partisan composition and voting history. Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Edgardo Baez in November. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Castro's established position, limited Republican recruitment or funding, and the district's consistent performance in recent cycles. Current trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead. Only an unforeseen development—such as a significant scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an extreme national political shift—would likely alter this positioning before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$24,590終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 20th congressional district, centered in San Antonio, has long favored Democratic candidates in House elections due to its partisan composition and voting history. Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Edgardo Baez in November. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Castro's established position, limited Republican recruitment or funding, and the district's consistent performance in recent cycles. Current trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead. Only an unforeseen development—such as a significant scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an extreme national political shift—would likely alter this positioning before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,590終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 20th congressional district, centered in San Antonio, has long favored Democratic candidates in House elections due to its partisan composition and voting history. Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Edgardo Baez in November. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Castro's established position, limited Republican recruitment or funding, and the district's consistent performance in recent cycles. Current trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead. Only an unforeseen development—such as a significant scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an extreme national political shift—would likely alter this positioning before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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