Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann's easy primary victory and the Kansas 1st District's deep Republican tilt, rated Solid Republican with a partisan lean exceeding R+16, anchor trader consensus near 93.5% for a GOP win in the November 3 general election. The vast rural western district favors Republican candidates on agriculture, energy, and conservative issues, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition. No competitive polling has emerged since the August 4 primaries, and historical margins in the seat reinforce the outlook. A national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high turnout among non-traditional voters could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,348 Vol.
$17,348 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$17,348 Vol.
$17,348 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$6,050 Vol.
94%
民主党
$11,298 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann's easy primary victory and the Kansas 1st District's deep Republican tilt, rated Solid Republican with a partisan lean exceeding R+16, anchor trader consensus near 93.5% for a GOP win in the November 3 general election. The vast rural western district favors Republican candidates on agriculture, energy, and conservative issues, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition. No competitive polling has emerged since the August 4 primaries, and historical margins in the seat reinforce the outlook. A national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high turnout among non-traditional voters could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$17,348終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann's easy primary victory and the Kansas 1st District's deep Republican tilt, rated Solid Republican with a partisan lean exceeding R+16, anchor trader consensus near 93.5% for a GOP win in the November 3 general election. The vast rural western district favors Republican candidates on agriculture, energy, and conservative issues, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition. No competitive polling has emerged since the August 4 primaries, and historical margins in the seat reinforce the outlook. A national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high turnout among non-traditional voters could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,348終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann's easy primary victory and the Kansas 1st District's deep Republican tilt, rated Solid Republican with a partisan lean exceeding R+16, anchor trader consensus near 93.5% for a GOP win in the November 3 general election. The vast rural western district favors Republican candidates on agriculture, energy, and conservative issues, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition. No competitive polling has emerged since the August 4 primaries, and historical margins in the seat reinforce the outlook. A national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high turnout among non-traditional voters could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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