Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann’s decisive primary victory in August, combined with the district’s longstanding R+16 partisan voter index and rural agricultural character, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee. Western Kansas’s consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and congressional cycles, minimal Democratic fundraising, and uniform “Safe Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from major forecasters reinforce expectations of continuity. A November 3 general election matchup against Democrat Lauren Reinhold is viewed as structurally noncompetitive absent an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,348 Vol.
$17,348 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$17,348 Vol.
$17,348 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$6,050 Vol.
94%
民主党
$11,298 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann’s decisive primary victory in August, combined with the district’s longstanding R+16 partisan voter index and rural agricultural character, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee. Western Kansas’s consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and congressional cycles, minimal Democratic fundraising, and uniform “Safe Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from major forecasters reinforce expectations of continuity. A November 3 general election matchup against Democrat Lauren Reinhold is viewed as structurally noncompetitive absent an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$17,348終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann’s decisive primary victory in August, combined with the district’s longstanding R+16 partisan voter index and rural agricultural character, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee. Western Kansas’s consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and congressional cycles, minimal Democratic fundraising, and uniform “Safe Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from major forecasters reinforce expectations of continuity. A November 3 general election matchup against Democrat Lauren Reinhold is viewed as structurally noncompetitive absent an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,348終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann’s decisive primary victory in August, combined with the district’s longstanding R+16 partisan voter index and rural agricultural character, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee. Western Kansas’s consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and congressional cycles, minimal Democratic fundraising, and uniform “Safe Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from major forecasters reinforce expectations of continuity. A November 3 general election matchup against Democrat Lauren Reinhold is viewed as structurally noncompetitive absent an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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