The Illinois 8th Congressional District’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and voting patterns across suburban Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. The seat opened after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a U.S. Senate bid, leading to March 2026 primaries where former Representative Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination and Jennifer Davis advanced for Republicans. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant national partisan swing, sharply higher Republican turnout, or unforeseen developments involving either candidate would be required to shift the current positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,818 Vol.
$21,818 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$21,818 Vol.
$21,818 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$9,791 Vol.
95%
共和党
$12,027 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th Congressional District’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and voting patterns across suburban Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. The seat opened after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a U.S. Senate bid, leading to March 2026 primaries where former Representative Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination and Jennifer Davis advanced for Republicans. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant national partisan swing, sharply higher Republican turnout, or unforeseen developments involving either candidate would be required to shift the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$21,818終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th Congressional District’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and voting patterns across suburban Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. The seat opened after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a U.S. Senate bid, leading to March 2026 primaries where former Representative Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination and Jennifer Davis advanced for Republicans. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant national partisan swing, sharply higher Republican turnout, or unforeseen developments involving either candidate would be required to shift the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,818終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 8th Congressional District’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and voting patterns across suburban Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. The seat opened after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a U.S. Senate bid, leading to March 2026 primaries where former Representative Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination and Jennifer Davis advanced for Republicans. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant national partisan swing, sharply higher Republican turnout, or unforeseen developments involving either candidate would be required to shift the current positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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