Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois's 8th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating several challengers in an open seat previously held by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district, encompassing northwest Chicago suburbs with a D+5 partisan voter index, carries a consistent Democratic advantage in recent cycles. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the general election matchup against Republican nominee Jennifer Davis as Solid or Safe Democratic. This positioning underpins the market's heavy Democratic lean, reflecting the seat's structural tilt, Bean's prior congressional experience, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A national Republican wave, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would deviate from established district patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,818 Vol.
$21,818 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$21,818 Vol.
$21,818 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$9,791 Vol.
95%
共和党
$12,027 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois's 8th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating several challengers in an open seat previously held by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district, encompassing northwest Chicago suburbs with a D+5 partisan voter index, carries a consistent Democratic advantage in recent cycles. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the general election matchup against Republican nominee Jennifer Davis as Solid or Safe Democratic. This positioning underpins the market's heavy Democratic lean, reflecting the seat's structural tilt, Bean's prior congressional experience, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A national Republican wave, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would deviate from established district patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$21,818終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois's 8th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating several challengers in an open seat previously held by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district, encompassing northwest Chicago suburbs with a D+5 partisan voter index, carries a consistent Democratic advantage in recent cycles. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the general election matchup against Republican nominee Jennifer Davis as Solid or Safe Democratic. This positioning underpins the market's heavy Democratic lean, reflecting the seat's structural tilt, Bean's prior congressional experience, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A national Republican wave, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would deviate from established district patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,818終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois's 8th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating several challengers in an open seat previously held by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district, encompassing northwest Chicago suburbs with a D+5 partisan voter index, carries a consistent Democratic advantage in recent cycles. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the general election matchup against Republican nominee Jennifer Davis as Solid or Safe Democratic. This positioning underpins the market's heavy Democratic lean, reflecting the seat's structural tilt, Bean's prior congressional experience, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A national Republican wave, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would deviate from established district patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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